Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a mild spring day in São Paulo on September 16, with model consensus favoring daytime maxima near 19–20 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. Persistent moisture from the South Atlantic and weak frontal influences are suppressing strong solar heating while limiting nocturnal cooling, keeping the daily range narrow around 14–20 °C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between modest insolation under variable cloud cover and the moderating effect of on-shore flow, producing closely matched probabilities for the two leading outcomes. Minor differences in projected peak timing or brief shower intensity could shift the exact high by 1 °C, consistent with typical spring variability in the region. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance ahead of peak heating hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 16 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 16 de setembro?
19°C 33%
20°C 29%
21°C 12%
18°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
16 set 2026
14°C ou menos
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
12%
19°C
33%
20°C
29%
21°C
12%
22°C
8%
23°C
1%
24°C ou mais
1%
19°C 33%
20°C 29%
21°C 12%
18°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
16 set 2026
14°C ou menos
$80 Vol.
1%
15°C
$36 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
3%
17°C
$280 Vol.
4%
18°C
$286 Vol.
12%
19°C
$441 Vol.
33%
20°C
$414 Vol.
29%
21°C
$105 Vol.
12%
22°C
$9 Vol.
8%
23°C
$208 Vol.
1%
24°C ou mais
$187 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a mild spring day in São Paulo on September 16, with model consensus favoring daytime maxima near 19–20 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. Persistent moisture from the South Atlantic and weak frontal influences are suppressing strong solar heating while limiting nocturnal cooling, keeping the daily range narrow around 14–20 °C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between modest insolation under variable cloud cover and the moderating effect of on-shore flow, producing closely matched probabilities for the two leading outcomes. Minor differences in projected peak timing or brief shower intensity could shift the exact high by 1 °C, consistent with typical spring variability in the region. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance ahead of peak heating hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,046Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a mild spring day in São Paulo on September 16, with model consensus favoring daytime maxima near 19–20 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. Persistent moisture from the South Atlantic and weak frontal influences are suppressing strong solar heating while limiting nocturnal cooling, keeping the daily range narrow around 14–20 °C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between modest insolation under variable cloud cover and the moderating effect of on-shore flow, producing closely matched probabilities for the two leading outcomes. Minor differences in projected peak timing or brief shower intensity could shift the exact high by 1 °C, consistent with typical spring variability in the region. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance ahead of peak heating hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,046Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a mild spring day in São Paulo on September 16, with model consensus favoring daytime maxima near 19–20 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. Persistent moisture from the South Atlantic and weak frontal influences are suppressing strong solar heating while limiting nocturnal cooling, keeping the daily range narrow around 14–20 °C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between modest insolation under variable cloud cover and the moderating effect of on-shore flow, producing closely matched probabilities for the two leading outcomes. Minor differences in projected peak timing or brief shower intensity could shift the exact high by 1 °C, consistent with typical spring variability in the region. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance ahead of peak heating hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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