Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models position 28°C as the most likely maximum temperature for Shanghai on September 15, aligning with mid-September climatology where average highs hover near this threshold under typical subtropical high-pressure influence. Stable atmospheric patterns with moderate southerly flow and minimal frontal activity support tight clustering around 28–29°C, while the 27°C outcome reflects slight downside risk from localized cooling. The China Meteorological Administration’s next model runs and observational updates will refine these projections, particularly regarding any urban heat-island amplification or moisture advection that could nudge readings higher. Traders are weighting recent model consensus heavily given the short lead time to resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 15 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 15 de setembro?
28°C 58%
29°C 20%
27°C 14%
25°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
24°C ou menos
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
7%
27°C
14%
28°C
58%
29°C
20%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C ou mais
1%
28°C 58%
29°C 20%
27°C 14%
25°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
24°C ou menos
$10 Vol.
4%
25°C
$70 Vol.
7%
26°C
$98 Vol.
7%
27°C
$394 Vol.
14%
28°C
$634 Vol.
58%
29°C
$533 Vol.
20%
30°C
$93 Vol.
5%
31°C
$10 Vol.
3%
32°C
$10 Vol.
5%
33°C
$10 Vol.
2%
34°C ou mais
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models position 28°C as the most likely maximum temperature for Shanghai on September 15, aligning with mid-September climatology where average highs hover near this threshold under typical subtropical high-pressure influence. Stable atmospheric patterns with moderate southerly flow and minimal frontal activity support tight clustering around 28–29°C, while the 27°C outcome reflects slight downside risk from localized cooling. The China Meteorological Administration’s next model runs and observational updates will refine these projections, particularly regarding any urban heat-island amplification or moisture advection that could nudge readings higher. Traders are weighting recent model consensus heavily given the short lead time to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,872Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models position 28°C as the most likely maximum temperature for Shanghai on September 15, aligning with mid-September climatology where average highs hover near this threshold under typical subtropical high-pressure influence. Stable atmospheric patterns with moderate southerly flow and minimal frontal activity support tight clustering around 28–29°C, while the 27°C outcome reflects slight downside risk from localized cooling. The China Meteorological Administration’s next model runs and observational updates will refine these projections, particularly regarding any urban heat-island amplification or moisture advection that could nudge readings higher. Traders are weighting recent model consensus heavily given the short lead time to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,872Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models position 28°C as the most likely maximum temperature for Shanghai on September 15, aligning with mid-September climatology where average highs hover near this threshold under typical subtropical high-pressure influence. Stable atmospheric patterns with moderate southerly flow and minimal frontal activity support tight clustering around 28–29°C, while the 27°C outcome reflects slight downside risk from localized cooling. The China Meteorological Administration’s next model runs and observational updates will refine these projections, particularly regarding any urban heat-island amplification or moisture advection that could nudge readings higher. Traders are weighting recent model consensus heavily given the short lead time to resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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