Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a warm, mostly clear day in Tokyo on September 14 driven by southerly winds and high pressure, positioning a daily maximum near 30–31°C as the leading outcomes with combined market-implied probability exceeding 75%. Official guidance highlights light precipitation chances under 20% and gusty afternoon winds that could moderate peaks, while historical September averages of 27–28°C provide context for the above-normal warmth. Model consensus remains tight on the upper 20s to low 30s range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind direction ahead of the close could favor 29°C or 32°C. Updated numerical weather predictions from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency will be key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 14 de setembro?
30°C 47%
31°C 30%
29°C 16%
27°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
25°C ou menos
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
16%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
47%
31°C
30%
32°C
11%
33°C
7%
34°C
4%
35°C ou mais
4%
30°C 47%
31°C 30%
29°C 16%
27°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
25°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
16%
28°C
$0 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$17 Vol.
47%
31°C
$39 Vol.
30%
32°C
$5 Vol.
11%
33°C
$0 Vol.
7%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a warm, mostly clear day in Tokyo on September 14 driven by southerly winds and high pressure, positioning a daily maximum near 30–31°C as the leading outcomes with combined market-implied probability exceeding 75%. Official guidance highlights light precipitation chances under 20% and gusty afternoon winds that could moderate peaks, while historical September averages of 27–28°C provide context for the above-normal warmth. Model consensus remains tight on the upper 20s to low 30s range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind direction ahead of the close could favor 29°C or 32°C. Updated numerical weather predictions from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency will be key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$60Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a warm, mostly clear day in Tokyo on September 14 driven by southerly winds and high pressure, positioning a daily maximum near 30–31°C as the leading outcomes with combined market-implied probability exceeding 75%. Official guidance highlights light precipitation chances under 20% and gusty afternoon winds that could moderate peaks, while historical September averages of 27–28°C provide context for the above-normal warmth. Model consensus remains tight on the upper 20s to low 30s range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind direction ahead of the close could favor 29°C or 32°C. Updated numerical weather predictions from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency will be key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$60Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a warm, mostly clear day in Tokyo on September 14 driven by southerly winds and high pressure, positioning a daily maximum near 30–31°C as the leading outcomes with combined market-implied probability exceeding 75%. Official guidance highlights light precipitation chances under 20% and gusty afternoon winds that could moderate peaks, while historical September averages of 27–28°C provide context for the above-normal warmth. Model consensus remains tight on the upper 20s to low 30s range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind direction ahead of the close could favor 29°C or 32°C. Updated numerical weather predictions from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency will be key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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