Clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions over central Spain are driving Madrid's maximum temperature toward 32°C on September 12, consistent with official short-range forecasts showing afternoon peaks of 31–33°C. Light easterly to southeasterly winds, low humidity, and zero precipitation risk support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 17–21°C, aligning with the market's strong 77% implied probability for exactly 32°C. Historical averages for the date are lower at 27.3°C, but current observational data and model consensus indicate warmer-than-normal conditions without significant deviations expected before sunset. Upcoming hourly updates from monitoring agencies will refine the precise peak, though the narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects limited forecast uncertainty on this stable day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 12 de setembro?
32°C 77%
31°C 16%
33°C 9%
30°C 1.1%
$27,116 Vol.
$27,116 Vol.
12 set 2026
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
16%
32°C
77%
33°C
9%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou mais
<1%
32°C 77%
31°C 16%
33°C 9%
30°C 1.1%
$27,116 Vol.
$27,116 Vol.
12 set 2026
27°C ou menos
$692 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$410 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$417 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,053 Vol.
1%
31°C
$7,532 Vol.
16%
32°C
$8,097 Vol.
77%
33°C
$6,879 Vol.
9%
34°C
$1,181 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$264 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$445 Vol.
<1%
37°C ou mais
$145 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions over central Spain are driving Madrid's maximum temperature toward 32°C on September 12, consistent with official short-range forecasts showing afternoon peaks of 31–33°C. Light easterly to southeasterly winds, low humidity, and zero precipitation risk support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 17–21°C, aligning with the market's strong 77% implied probability for exactly 32°C. Historical averages for the date are lower at 27.3°C, but current observational data and model consensus indicate warmer-than-normal conditions without significant deviations expected before sunset. Upcoming hourly updates from monitoring agencies will refine the precise peak, though the narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects limited forecast uncertainty on this stable day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$27,116Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions over central Spain are driving Madrid's maximum temperature toward 32°C on September 12, consistent with official short-range forecasts showing afternoon peaks of 31–33°C. Light easterly to southeasterly winds, low humidity, and zero precipitation risk support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 17–21°C, aligning with the market's strong 77% implied probability for exactly 32°C. Historical averages for the date are lower at 27.3°C, but current observational data and model consensus indicate warmer-than-normal conditions without significant deviations expected before sunset. Upcoming hourly updates from monitoring agencies will refine the precise peak, though the narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects limited forecast uncertainty on this stable day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,116Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions over central Spain are driving Madrid's maximum temperature toward 32°C on September 12, consistent with official short-range forecasts showing afternoon peaks of 31–33°C. Light easterly to southeasterly winds, low humidity, and zero precipitation risk support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 17–21°C, aligning with the market's strong 77% implied probability for exactly 32°C. Historical averages for the date are lower at 27.3°C, but current observational data and model consensus indicate warmer-than-normal conditions without significant deviations expected before sunset. Upcoming hourly updates from monitoring agencies will refine the precise peak, though the narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects limited forecast uncertainty on this stable day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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