Recent forecasts from multiple models position 22–23°C as the leading outcomes for Amsterdam’s September 14 high, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern with light southerly flow and variable cloud cover that limits strong daytime warming. Daytime maxima are expected near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with only isolated light showers possible, consistent with mid-September climatology where typical highs range 18–20°C but current conditions allow modest exceedance. Model agreement across GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance shows little spread, keeping probabilities for 24°C or higher below 15% while suppressing colder outcomes below 21°C. With resolution just two days away, updated short-range runs will refine the exact peak timing relative to any afternoon cloud breaks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 14 de setembro?
22°C 43%
23°C 31%
21°C 16%
24°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
16°C ou menos
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
16%
22°C
43%
23°C
31%
24°C
9%
25°C
4%
26°C ou mais
2%
22°C 43%
23°C 31%
21°C 16%
24°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
16°C ou menos
$10 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$80 Vol.
1%
18°C
$125 Vol.
1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$4 Vol.
6%
21°C
$7 Vol.
16%
22°C
$67 Vol.
43%
23°C
$62 Vol.
31%
24°C
$0 Vol.
9%
25°C
$25 Vol.
4%
26°C ou mais
$27 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models position 22–23°C as the leading outcomes for Amsterdam’s September 14 high, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern with light southerly flow and variable cloud cover that limits strong daytime warming. Daytime maxima are expected near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with only isolated light showers possible, consistent with mid-September climatology where typical highs range 18–20°C but current conditions allow modest exceedance. Model agreement across GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance shows little spread, keeping probabilities for 24°C or higher below 15% while suppressing colder outcomes below 21°C. With resolution just two days away, updated short-range runs will refine the exact peak timing relative to any afternoon cloud breaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$407Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models position 22–23°C as the leading outcomes for Amsterdam’s September 14 high, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern with light southerly flow and variable cloud cover that limits strong daytime warming. Daytime maxima are expected near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with only isolated light showers possible, consistent with mid-September climatology where typical highs range 18–20°C but current conditions allow modest exceedance. Model agreement across GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance shows little spread, keeping probabilities for 24°C or higher below 15% while suppressing colder outcomes below 21°C. With resolution just two days away, updated short-range runs will refine the exact peak timing relative to any afternoon cloud breaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$407Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models position 22–23°C as the leading outcomes for Amsterdam’s September 14 high, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern with light southerly flow and variable cloud cover that limits strong daytime warming. Daytime maxima are expected near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with only isolated light showers possible, consistent with mid-September climatology where typical highs range 18–20°C but current conditions allow modest exceedance. Model agreement across GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance shows little spread, keeping probabilities for 24°C or higher below 15% while suppressing colder outcomes below 21°C. With resolution just two days away, updated short-range runs will refine the exact peak timing relative to any afternoon cloud breaks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions