**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a daily high of 31–33°C in Ankara on September 12, 2026, under clear skies and light winds, driving the strong market tilt toward 32°C (67.5% implied probability).** Ankara’s continental climate features warm, dry September days with typical maxima near 27–30°C; the current setup shows a stable high-pressure ridge supporting slightly above-average warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Official and ensemble forecasts (including Met Office, Yr, PredictWind, and others) consistently project afternoon peaks of 31–33°C at stations like Esenboğa, with several runs centering on 32°C amid light southerly or variable flow and low humidity. This narrow range explains the market’s heavy weighting on 32°C and 31°C (combined >98%), while lower outcomes remain at negligible probabilities. Minor model spread around exact peak timing or micro-scale variations accounts for the small allocations to 30°C or 33°C. No major synoptic shifts are indicated in the latest runs, keeping trader sentiment anchored to this consensus ahead of final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Ancara em 12 de setembro?
32°C 69%
31°C 29%
30°C 3%
33°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
12 set 2026
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
29%
32°C
69%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C ou mais
1%
32°C 69%
31°C 29%
30°C 3%
33°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
12 set 2026
25°C ou menos
$188 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$85 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$990 Vol.
3%
31°C
$2,230 Vol.
29%
32°C
$2,686 Vol.
69%
33°C
$980 Vol.
3%
34°C
$463 Vol.
2%
35°C ou mais
$268 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a daily high of 31–33°C in Ankara on September 12, 2026, under clear skies and light winds, driving the strong market tilt toward 32°C (67.5% implied probability).**
Ankara’s continental climate features warm, dry September days with typical maxima near 27–30°C; the current setup shows a stable high-pressure ridge supporting slightly above-average warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Official and ensemble forecasts (including Met Office, Yr, PredictWind, and others) consistently project afternoon peaks of 31–33°C at stations like Esenboğa, with several runs centering on 32°C amid light southerly or variable flow and low humidity.
This narrow range explains the market’s heavy weighting on 32°C and 31°C (combined >98%), while lower outcomes remain at negligible probabilities. Minor model spread around exact peak timing or micro-scale variations accounts for the small allocations to 30°C or 33°C. No major synoptic shifts are indicated in the latest runs, keeping trader sentiment anchored to this consensus ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,130Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a daily high of 31–33°C in Ankara on September 12, 2026, under clear skies and light winds, driving the strong market tilt toward 32°C (67.5% implied probability).**
Ankara’s continental climate features warm, dry September days with typical maxima near 27–30°C; the current setup shows a stable high-pressure ridge supporting slightly above-average warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Official and ensemble forecasts (including Met Office, Yr, PredictWind, and others) consistently project afternoon peaks of 31–33°C at stations like Esenboğa, with several runs centering on 32°C amid light southerly or variable flow and low humidity.
This narrow range explains the market’s heavy weighting on 32°C and 31°C (combined >98%), while lower outcomes remain at negligible probabilities. Minor model spread around exact peak timing or micro-scale variations accounts for the small allocations to 30°C or 33°C. No major synoptic shifts are indicated in the latest runs, keeping trader sentiment anchored to this consensus ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,130Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a daily high of 31–33°C in Ankara on September 12, 2026, under clear skies and light winds, driving the strong market tilt toward 32°C (67.5% implied probability).** Ankara’s continental climate features warm, dry September days with typical maxima near 27–30°C; the current setup shows a stable high-pressure ridge supporting slightly above-average warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Official and ensemble forecasts (including Met Office, Yr, PredictWind, and others) consistently project afternoon peaks of 31–33°C at stations like Esenboğa, with several runs centering on 32°C amid light southerly or variable flow and low humidity. This narrow range explains the market’s heavy weighting on 32°C and 31°C (combined >98%), while lower outcomes remain at negligible probabilities. Minor model spread around exact peak timing or micro-scale variations accounts for the small allocations to 30°C or 33°C. No major synoptic shifts are indicated in the latest runs, keeping trader sentiment anchored to this consensus ahead of final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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