Official meteorological forecasts and observational data from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models indicate that overnight radiative cooling under clear skies will drive Ankara's minimum temperature to 12°C or below on September 12, consistent with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where average lows reach 13–14°C amid seasonal transition and dry conditions suppressing cloud cover or precipitation that could moderate temperatures. Key supporting factors include light winds, low humidity, and high-pressure dominance promoting efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 30–32°C. Traders' strong consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these verified atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected warm advection or measurement revision at official stations could theoretically shift the recorded low above 12°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Ancara em 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Ancara em 12 de setembro?
12°C ou menos 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
12 set 2026
12°C ou menos
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou mais
<1%
12°C ou menos 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
12 set 2026
12°C ou menos
$45 Vol.
100%
13°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$442 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$523 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
22°C ou mais
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts and observational data from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models indicate that overnight radiative cooling under clear skies will drive Ankara's minimum temperature to 12°C or below on September 12, consistent with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where average lows reach 13–14°C amid seasonal transition and dry conditions suppressing cloud cover or precipitation that could moderate temperatures. Key supporting factors include light winds, low humidity, and high-pressure dominance promoting efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 30–32°C. Traders' strong consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these verified atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected warm advection or measurement revision at official stations could theoretically shift the recorded low above 12°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,471Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts and observational data from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models indicate that overnight radiative cooling under clear skies will drive Ankara's minimum temperature to 12°C or below on September 12, consistent with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where average lows reach 13–14°C amid seasonal transition and dry conditions suppressing cloud cover or precipitation that could moderate temperatures. Key supporting factors include light winds, low humidity, and high-pressure dominance promoting efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 30–32°C. Traders' strong consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these verified atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected warm advection or measurement revision at official stations could theoretically shift the recorded low above 12°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,471Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological forecasts and observational data from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models indicate that overnight radiative cooling under clear skies will drive Ankara's minimum temperature to 12°C or below on September 12, consistent with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where average lows reach 13–14°C amid seasonal transition and dry conditions suppressing cloud cover or precipitation that could moderate temperatures. Key supporting factors include light winds, low humidity, and high-pressure dominance promoting efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 30–32°C. Traders' strong consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these verified atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected warm advection or measurement revision at official stations could theoretically shift the recorded low above 12°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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