Recent ensemble forecasts for Jeddah on September 14 indicate daytime highs centered in the 37–39°C range under persistent high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds typical of the Red Sea coastal regime. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF shows limited cloud cover and minimal marine influence to suppress temperatures, supporting the market's 49% implied probability on 39°C or higher as the leading outcome. Historical September climatology for the region averages near 36–37°C, with recent days tracking slightly above normal amid stable atmospheric conditions. Traders appear to weigh the spread in model runs—some projecting 38°C peaks while others reach 40°C—against the narrow 2-day window before official station readings resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Jeddah em 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Jeddah em 14 de setembro?
39°C ou mais 48%
38°C 30%
37°C 16%
36°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
29°C ou menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
10%
37°C
16%
38°C
30%
39°C ou mais
48%
39°C ou mais 48%
38°C 30%
37°C 16%
36°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
29°C ou menos
$291 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$177 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$193 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$139 Vol.
2%
36°C
$167 Vol.
10%
37°C
$304 Vol.
16%
38°C
$519 Vol.
30%
39°C ou mais
$1,497 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Jeddah on September 14 indicate daytime highs centered in the 37–39°C range under persistent high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds typical of the Red Sea coastal regime. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF shows limited cloud cover and minimal marine influence to suppress temperatures, supporting the market's 49% implied probability on 39°C or higher as the leading outcome. Historical September climatology for the region averages near 36–37°C, with recent days tracking slightly above normal amid stable atmospheric conditions. Traders appear to weigh the spread in model runs—some projecting 38°C peaks while others reach 40°C—against the narrow 2-day window before official station readings resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,609Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Jeddah on September 14 indicate daytime highs centered in the 37–39°C range under persistent high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds typical of the Red Sea coastal regime. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF shows limited cloud cover and minimal marine influence to suppress temperatures, supporting the market's 49% implied probability on 39°C or higher as the leading outcome. Historical September climatology for the region averages near 36–37°C, with recent days tracking slightly above normal amid stable atmospheric conditions. Traders appear to weigh the spread in model runs—some projecting 38°C peaks while others reach 40°C—against the narrow 2-day window before official station readings resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,609Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts for Jeddah on September 14 indicate daytime highs centered in the 37–39°C range under persistent high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds typical of the Red Sea coastal regime. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF shows limited cloud cover and minimal marine influence to suppress temperatures, supporting the market's 49% implied probability on 39°C or higher as the leading outcome. Historical September climatology for the region averages near 36–37°C, with recent days tracking slightly above normal amid stable atmospheric conditions. Traders appear to weigh the spread in model runs—some projecting 38°C peaks while others reach 40°C—against the narrow 2-day window before official station readings resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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