Trader sentiment for Chengdu's September 14 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 25–27°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show only modest day-to-day variability in the Sichuan basin. Recent surface observations indicate near-normal late-summer warmth with dew points near 20°C and light southerly flow, while the retreat of the East Asian monsoon brings occasional afternoon convective clouds that limit insolation and cap afternoon highs. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage account for the narrow spread between the 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes; drier, clearer scenarios support the lower-probability 28–29°C tails. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next key data points before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 14 de setembro?
27°C 25%
26°C 23%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
22°C ou menos
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
16%
26°C
23%
27°C
25%
28°C
13%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C ou mais
2%
27°C 25%
26°C 23%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$101 Vol.
4%
23°C
$7 Vol.
7%
24°C
$36 Vol.
10%
25°C
$0 Vol.
16%
26°C
$15 Vol.
23%
27°C
$104 Vol.
25%
28°C
$0 Vol.
13%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C ou mais
$6 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chengdu's September 14 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 25–27°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show only modest day-to-day variability in the Sichuan basin. Recent surface observations indicate near-normal late-summer warmth with dew points near 20°C and light southerly flow, while the retreat of the East Asian monsoon brings occasional afternoon convective clouds that limit insolation and cap afternoon highs. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage account for the narrow spread between the 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes; drier, clearer scenarios support the lower-probability 28–29°C tails. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$269Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chengdu's September 14 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 25–27°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show only modest day-to-day variability in the Sichuan basin. Recent surface observations indicate near-normal late-summer warmth with dew points near 20°C and light southerly flow, while the retreat of the East Asian monsoon brings occasional afternoon convective clouds that limit insolation and cap afternoon highs. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage account for the narrow spread between the 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes; drier, clearer scenarios support the lower-probability 28–29°C tails. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$269Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chengdu's September 14 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 25–27°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show only modest day-to-day variability in the Sichuan basin. Recent surface observations indicate near-normal late-summer warmth with dew points near 20°C and light southerly flow, while the retreat of the East Asian monsoon brings occasional afternoon convective clouds that limit insolation and cap afternoon highs. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage account for the narrow spread between the 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes; drier, clearer scenarios support the lower-probability 28–29°C tails. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next key data points before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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