Recent weather model consensus points to a daily maximum in Chengdu of 24–26°C on September 13, with scattered light rain and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Multiple forecasts, including those from European and global ensembles, highlight weak southerly flow and moisture associated with lingering seasonal systems, which suppress peak temperatures below the climatological September average of roughly 28°C. This narrow range of expected values explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations, where even modest shifts in timing of cloud breaks or rainfall could alter the recorded high by 1–2°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 13 de setembro?
25°C 29%
24°C 27%
26°C 24%
23°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
9%
24°C
27%
25°C
29%
26°C
24%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 29%
24°C 27%
26°C 24%
23°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
20°C ou menos
$570 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$136 Vol.
2%
22°C
$186 Vol.
3%
23°C
$1,151 Vol.
9%
24°C
$2,134 Vol.
27%
25°C
$1,290 Vol.
29%
26°C
$591 Vol.
24%
27°C
$732 Vol.
7%
28°C
$298 Vol.
2%
29°C
$232 Vol.
2%
30°C ou mais
$213 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus points to a daily maximum in Chengdu of 24–26°C on September 13, with scattered light rain and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Multiple forecasts, including those from European and global ensembles, highlight weak southerly flow and moisture associated with lingering seasonal systems, which suppress peak temperatures below the climatological September average of roughly 28°C. This narrow range of expected values explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations, where even modest shifts in timing of cloud breaks or rainfall could alter the recorded high by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$7,534Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus points to a daily maximum in Chengdu of 24–26°C on September 13, with scattered light rain and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Multiple forecasts, including those from European and global ensembles, highlight weak southerly flow and moisture associated with lingering seasonal systems, which suppress peak temperatures below the climatological September average of roughly 28°C. This narrow range of expected values explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations, where even modest shifts in timing of cloud breaks or rainfall could alter the recorded high by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,534Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus points to a daily maximum in Chengdu of 24–26°C on September 13, with scattered light rain and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Multiple forecasts, including those from European and global ensembles, highlight weak southerly flow and moisture associated with lingering seasonal systems, which suppress peak temperatures below the climatological September average of roughly 28°C. This narrow range of expected values explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations, where even modest shifts in timing of cloud breaks or rainfall could alter the recorded high by 1–2°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions