Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure system over central Anatolia will deliver clear skies and light westerly winds to Ankara on September 11, supporting a daytime maximum near 31 °C. Recent runs show minimal day-to-day variability, with surface temperatures rising from overnight lows around 15–17 °C under low humidity and negligible cloud cover. This places the implied probability heavily on 31 °C, consistent with climatological September averages slightly above the long-term mean and the absence of any frontal passages or moisture advection that could alter the thermal profile. Final resolution will hinge on official observations at the Ankara station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 11 de setembro?
31°C 61%
32°C 27%
30°C 11%
28°C 3%
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
11%
31°C
61%
32°C
27%
33°C
3%
34°C ou mais
1%
31°C 61%
32°C 27%
30°C 11%
28°C 3%
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
11%
31°C
61%
32°C
27%
33°C
3%
34°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure system over central Anatolia will deliver clear skies and light westerly winds to Ankara on September 11, supporting a daytime maximum near 31 °C. Recent runs show minimal day-to-day variability, with surface temperatures rising from overnight lows around 15–17 °C under low humidity and negligible cloud cover. This places the implied probability heavily on 31 °C, consistent with climatological September averages slightly above the long-term mean and the absence of any frontal passages or moisture advection that could alter the thermal profile. Final resolution will hinge on official observations at the Ankara station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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