Heavy precipitation and northerly advection of cooler air are suppressing daytime heating in Chengdu on September 9, with official forecasts indicating a high near 24–25°C amid widespread rain and thunderstorms. Recent model runs show persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and 20–70 mm of rainfall expected to limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, shifting probabilities away from the 30°C+ values seen earlier in the month. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 26–27°C because forecast models diverge on exact timing of peak temperatures and rainfall intensity before resolution criteria are met, while lower outcomes like 25°C gain traction from updated guidance emphasizing stronger cold-air influence and wind speeds of 4–7 m/s. Historical September baselines around 26–28°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors below-normal maxima.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 9 de setembro?
27°C 30%
26°C 28%
25°C 14%
28°C 14%
21°C ou menos
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
14%
26°C
28%
27°C
30%
28°C
14%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C ou mais
1%
27°C 30%
26°C 28%
25°C 14%
28°C 14%
21°C ou menos
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
14%
26°C
28%
27°C
30%
28°C
14%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Heavy precipitation and northerly advection of cooler air are suppressing daytime heating in Chengdu on September 9, with official forecasts indicating a high near 24–25°C amid widespread rain and thunderstorms. Recent model runs show persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and 20–70 mm of rainfall expected to limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, shifting probabilities away from the 30°C+ values seen earlier in the month. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 26–27°C because forecast models diverge on exact timing of peak temperatures and rainfall intensity before resolution criteria are met, while lower outcomes like 25°C gain traction from updated guidance emphasizing stronger cold-air influence and wind speeds of 4–7 m/s. Historical September baselines around 26–28°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors below-normal maxima.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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