Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu near 16–18°C on September 9 amid persistent rain and a northeasterly cold-air surge that has lowered daytime highs to the low 20s. Cloud cover and high humidity are moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low from dropping further, while steering patterns limit stronger advection. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 20–22°C because traders weigh these stabilizing effects against forecast spread in timing of heaviest precipitation and local urban heat-island influences. Updated runs overnight or early morning will clarify whether the minimum settles near the upper or lower end of that range before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chengdu em 9 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Chengdu em 9 de setembro?
21°C 48%
20°C 48%
22°C 47%
18°C 45%
NOVO
NOVO
9 set 2026
16°C ou menos
1%
17°C
45%
18°C
45%
19°C
45%
20°C
48%
21°C
48%
22°C
47%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C ou mais
<1%
21°C 48%
20°C 48%
22°C 47%
18°C 45%
NOVO
NOVO
9 set 2026
16°C ou menos
$145 Vol.
1%
17°C
$47 Vol.
45%
18°C
$20 Vol.
45%
19°C
$38 Vol.
45%
20°C
$0 Vol.
48%
21°C
$0 Vol.
48%
22°C
$0 Vol.
47%
23°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$409 Vol.
<1%
26°C ou mais
$245 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu near 16–18°C on September 9 amid persistent rain and a northeasterly cold-air surge that has lowered daytime highs to the low 20s. Cloud cover and high humidity are moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low from dropping further, while steering patterns limit stronger advection. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 20–22°C because traders weigh these stabilizing effects against forecast spread in timing of heaviest precipitation and local urban heat-island influences. Updated runs overnight or early morning will clarify whether the minimum settles near the upper or lower end of that range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,179Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu near 16–18°C on September 9 amid persistent rain and a northeasterly cold-air surge that has lowered daytime highs to the low 20s. Cloud cover and high humidity are moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low from dropping further, while steering patterns limit stronger advection. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 20–22°C because traders weigh these stabilizing effects against forecast spread in timing of heaviest precipitation and local urban heat-island influences. Updated runs overnight or early morning will clarify whether the minimum settles near the upper or lower end of that range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,179Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu near 16–18°C on September 9 amid persistent rain and a northeasterly cold-air surge that has lowered daytime highs to the low 20s. Cloud cover and high humidity are moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low from dropping further, while steering patterns limit stronger advection. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 20–22°C because traders weigh these stabilizing effects against forecast spread in timing of heaviest precipitation and local urban heat-island influences. Updated runs overnight or early morning will clarify whether the minimum settles near the upper or lower end of that range before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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