Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature of 29°C in Tokyo on September 8, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Stable atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies, align with model consensus projecting no significant deviation. Historical September baselines for the region average around 28–30°C, providing context for the tight clustering. Trader consensus reflects real-time observational data and short-range model runs with low uncertainty ranges. Only an abrupt shift in local wind patterns or unforecasted urban heat effects could realistically push readings outside this threshold before official verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 8 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 8 de setembro?
29°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$93,966 Vol.
$93,966 Vol.
8 set 2026
26°C ou menos
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Sim
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C ou mais
Não
29°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$93,966 Vol.
$93,966 Vol.
8 set 2026
26°C ou menos
$18,097 Vol.
Não
27°C
$16,154 Vol.
Não
28°C
$21,347 Vol.
Não
29°C
$9,350 Vol.
Sim
30°C
$12,817 Vol.
Não
31°C
$6,278 Vol.
Não
32°C
$4,771 Vol.
Não
33°C
$1,238 Vol.
Não
34°C
$1,297 Vol.
Não
35°C
$1,319 Vol.
Não
36°C ou mais
$1,298 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature of 29°C in Tokyo on September 8, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Stable atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies, align with model consensus projecting no significant deviation. Historical September baselines for the region average around 28–30°C, providing context for the tight clustering. Trader consensus reflects real-time observational data and short-range model runs with low uncertainty ranges. Only an abrupt shift in local wind patterns or unforecasted urban heat effects could realistically push readings outside this threshold before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$93,966Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature of 29°C in Tokyo on September 8, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Stable atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies, align with model consensus projecting no significant deviation. Historical September baselines for the region average around 28–30°C, providing context for the tight clustering. Trader consensus reflects real-time observational data and short-range model runs with low uncertainty ranges. Only an abrupt shift in local wind patterns or unforecasted urban heat effects could realistically push readings outside this threshold before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$93,966Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature of 29°C in Tokyo on September 8, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Stable atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies, align with model consensus projecting no significant deviation. Historical September baselines for the region average around 28–30°C, providing context for the tight clustering. Trader consensus reflects real-time observational data and short-range model runs with low uncertainty ranges. Only an abrupt shift in local wind patterns or unforecasted urban heat effects could realistically push readings outside this threshold before official verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions