Official measurements from Environment and Climate Change Canada recorded a daily maximum of 23°C in Toronto on September 11, 2026, under clear skies and light winds that aligned closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.0°C for the date. This observed value produced the market’s 100% implied probability for 23°C, as post-event verification leaves little room for alternative outcomes. Traders priced in near-certainty once preliminary station data and model consensus confirmed conditions would not exceed or fall short of this threshold. A realistic challenge would require a subsequent revision to the official record, such as an instrument calibration adjustment or reanalysis of hourly observations, though such changes remain rare for recent Canadian surface data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Toronto no dia 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Toronto no dia 11 de setembro?
23°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$52,203 Vol.
$52,203 Vol.
11 set 2026
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou mais
<1%
23°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$52,203 Vol.
$52,203 Vol.
11 set 2026
18°C ou menos
$316 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$946 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,428 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$9,920 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$15,963 Vol.
100%
24°C
$9,761 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,842 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,908 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,368 Vol.
<1%
28°C ou mais
$1,481 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from Environment and Climate Change Canada recorded a daily maximum of 23°C in Toronto on September 11, 2026, under clear skies and light winds that aligned closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.0°C for the date. This observed value produced the market’s 100% implied probability for 23°C, as post-event verification leaves little room for alternative outcomes. Traders priced in near-certainty once preliminary station data and model consensus confirmed conditions would not exceed or fall short of this threshold. A realistic challenge would require a subsequent revision to the official record, such as an instrument calibration adjustment or reanalysis of hourly observations, though such changes remain rare for recent Canadian surface data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$52,203Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from Environment and Climate Change Canada recorded a daily maximum of 23°C in Toronto on September 11, 2026, under clear skies and light winds that aligned closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.0°C for the date. This observed value produced the market’s 100% implied probability for 23°C, as post-event verification leaves little room for alternative outcomes. Traders priced in near-certainty once preliminary station data and model consensus confirmed conditions would not exceed or fall short of this threshold. A realistic challenge would require a subsequent revision to the official record, such as an instrument calibration adjustment or reanalysis of hourly observations, though such changes remain rare for recent Canadian surface data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,203Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from Environment and Climate Change Canada recorded a daily maximum of 23°C in Toronto on September 11, 2026, under clear skies and light winds that aligned closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.0°C for the date. This observed value produced the market’s 100% implied probability for 23°C, as post-event verification leaves little room for alternative outcomes. Traders priced in near-certainty once preliminary station data and model consensus confirmed conditions would not exceed or fall short of this threshold. A realistic challenge would require a subsequent revision to the official record, such as an instrument calibration adjustment or reanalysis of hourly observations, though such changes remain rare for recent Canadian surface data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions