Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance indicate a high near 78–80°F for New York City on September 11 under clearing skies after a frontal passage, with northwest winds promoting drier air advection. This aligns with the climatological average high of 78.1°F and recent model runs showing modest daytime heating moderated by seasonal solar angles and reduced humidity. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 76–81°F because small differences in clearing timing, residual cloud cover, or boundary-layer mixing across guidance can shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F, creating genuine uncertainty at the resolution thresholds. Historical September 11 extremes range from 43°F to 99°F, underscoring how late-summer variability keeps probabilities dispersed despite the near-term consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 11 de setembro?
78-79°F 40%
76-77°F 39%
80-81°F 39%
84-85°F 17%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
69°F ou menos
1%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
17%
30-30,5°C
13%
88°F ou mais
11%
78-79°F 40%
76-77°F 39%
80-81°F 39%
84-85°F 17%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
69°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
9%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
11%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
39%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
40%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
39%
82-83°F
$55 Vol.
14%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
17%
30-30,5°C
$0 Vol.
13%
88°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance indicate a high near 78–80°F for New York City on September 11 under clearing skies after a frontal passage, with northwest winds promoting drier air advection. This aligns with the climatological average high of 78.1°F and recent model runs showing modest daytime heating moderated by seasonal solar angles and reduced humidity. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 76–81°F because small differences in clearing timing, residual cloud cover, or boundary-layer mixing across guidance can shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F, creating genuine uncertainty at the resolution thresholds. Historical September 11 extremes range from 43°F to 99°F, underscoring how late-summer variability keeps probabilities dispersed despite the near-term consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$55Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance indicate a high near 78–80°F for New York City on September 11 under clearing skies after a frontal passage, with northwest winds promoting drier air advection. This aligns with the climatological average high of 78.1°F and recent model runs showing modest daytime heating moderated by seasonal solar angles and reduced humidity. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 76–81°F because small differences in clearing timing, residual cloud cover, or boundary-layer mixing across guidance can shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F, creating genuine uncertainty at the resolution thresholds. Historical September 11 extremes range from 43°F to 99°F, underscoring how late-summer variability keeps probabilities dispersed despite the near-term consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance indicate a high near 78–80°F for New York City on September 11 under clearing skies after a frontal passage, with northwest winds promoting drier air advection. This aligns with the climatological average high of 78.1°F and recent model runs showing modest daytime heating moderated by seasonal solar angles and reduced humidity. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 76–81°F because small differences in clearing timing, residual cloud cover, or boundary-layer mixing across guidance can shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F, creating genuine uncertainty at the resolution thresholds. Historical September 11 extremes range from 43°F to 99°F, underscoring how late-summer variability keeps probabilities dispersed despite the near-term consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions