Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a warm southerly flow regime for New York City on September 9, with south-southwest winds promoting warm-air advection and highs most likely in the 83–86°F range. This positions 84–85°F as the leading bin at 36% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 82–83°F and 86–87°F. Key differentiators include the precise timing and strength of the low-level jet, extent of afternoon cloud cover that could cap insolation, and local sea-breeze or urban-heat-island effects measurable at Central Park versus coastal sites. Ensemble spreads remain modest but introduce enough uncertainty to keep the top three bins within roughly 25 percentage points, with fresh model runs and NWS updates expected to refine the maximum-temperature outcome before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 9 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 9 de setembro?
84-85°F 36%
82-83°F 27%
30°C-30,5°C 23%
80-81°F 8%
NOVO
NOVO
9 set 2026
75°F ou menos
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
36%
30°C-30,5°C
23%
88-89°F
6%
32,2-32,8°C
2%
92-93°F
3%
94°F ou mais
1%
84-85°F 36%
82-83°F 27%
30°C-30,5°C 23%
80-81°F 8%
NOVO
NOVO
9 set 2026
75°F ou menos
$52 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$52 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$10 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$7 Vol.
8%
82-83°F
$205 Vol.
27%
84-85°F
$117 Vol.
36%
30°C-30,5°C
$900 Vol.
23%
88-89°F
$109 Vol.
6%
32,2-32,8°C
$18 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$20 Vol.
3%
94°F ou mais
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a warm southerly flow regime for New York City on September 9, with south-southwest winds promoting warm-air advection and highs most likely in the 83–86°F range. This positions 84–85°F as the leading bin at 36% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 82–83°F and 86–87°F. Key differentiators include the precise timing and strength of the low-level jet, extent of afternoon cloud cover that could cap insolation, and local sea-breeze or urban-heat-island effects measurable at Central Park versus coastal sites. Ensemble spreads remain modest but introduce enough uncertainty to keep the top three bins within roughly 25 percentage points, with fresh model runs and NWS updates expected to refine the maximum-temperature outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,494Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a warm southerly flow regime for New York City on September 9, with south-southwest winds promoting warm-air advection and highs most likely in the 83–86°F range. This positions 84–85°F as the leading bin at 36% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 82–83°F and 86–87°F. Key differentiators include the precise timing and strength of the low-level jet, extent of afternoon cloud cover that could cap insolation, and local sea-breeze or urban-heat-island effects measurable at Central Park versus coastal sites. Ensemble spreads remain modest but introduce enough uncertainty to keep the top three bins within roughly 25 percentage points, with fresh model runs and NWS updates expected to refine the maximum-temperature outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,494Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a warm southerly flow regime for New York City on September 9, with south-southwest winds promoting warm-air advection and highs most likely in the 83–86°F range. This positions 84–85°F as the leading bin at 36% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 82–83°F and 86–87°F. Key differentiators include the precise timing and strength of the low-level jet, extent of afternoon cloud cover that could cap insolation, and local sea-breeze or urban-heat-island effects measurable at Central Park versus coastal sites. Ensemble spreads remain modest but introduce enough uncertainty to keep the top three bins within roughly 25 percentage points, with fresh model runs and NWS updates expected to refine the maximum-temperature outcome before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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