**Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Chongqing on September 10, 2026, reflects current numerical weather model outputs and observational trends showing a daily maximum near that threshold amid transitional late-summer conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light precipitation associated with regional moisture transport are limiting stronger daytime heating, while southwest flow and surface pressures near 1018–1022 hPa support temperatures peaking around 28–30°C according to consensus guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Historical September baselines for the region often feature highs of 30–35°C early in the month before cooling, providing climatological context for this positioning. Realistic challenges include heavier or prolonged rainfall suppressing the maximum below 30°C, or unexpected clearing that allows brief exceedance, with updated model runs and official station observations serving as the primary near-term data releases that could shift market-implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chongqing no dia 10 de setembro?
30°C 100.0%
23°C ou menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$73,866 Vol.
$73,866 Vol.
23°C ou menos
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Sim
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C ou mais
Não
30°C 100.0%
23°C ou menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$73,866 Vol.
$73,866 Vol.
23°C ou menos
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Sim
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Chongqing on September 10, 2026, reflects current numerical weather model outputs and observational trends showing a daily maximum near that threshold amid transitional late-summer conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light precipitation associated with regional moisture transport are limiting stronger daytime heating, while southwest flow and surface pressures near 1018–1022 hPa support temperatures peaking around 28–30°C according to consensus guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Historical September baselines for the region often feature highs of 30–35°C early in the month before cooling, providing climatological context for this positioning. Realistic challenges include heavier or prolonged rainfall suppressing the maximum below 30°C, or unexpected clearing that allows brief exceedance, with updated model runs and official station observations serving as the primary near-term data releases that could shift market-implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions