**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 19°C minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 10, driven by consensus forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that level under persistent cloud cover and light rain.** Northerly flow and high humidity have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further despite the season's typical September baseline of around 20°C. Recent observations through the evening confirm readings hovering in the 18–20°C range, aligning with the dominant outcome. Only a rapid clearing of skies or unexpected dry slot could allow greater nocturnal cooling and shift the result toward 18°C or lower, though current conditions make such a deviation unlikely before final station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 10 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 10 de setembro?
19°C 100.0%
14°C ou menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$11,761 Vol.
$11,761 Vol.
10 set 2026
14°C ou menos
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Sim
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C ou mais
Não
19°C 100.0%
14°C ou menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$11,761 Vol.
$11,761 Vol.
10 set 2026
14°C ou menos
$94 Vol.
Não
15°C
$732 Vol.
Não
16°C
$2,598 Vol.
Não
17°C
$690 Vol.
Não
18°C
$975 Vol.
Não
19°C
$2,269 Vol.
Sim
20°C
$2,424 Vol.
Não
21°C
$1,098 Vol.
Não
22°C
$316 Vol.
Não
23°C
$323 Vol.
Não
24°C ou mais
$241 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 19°C minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 10, driven by consensus forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that level under persistent cloud cover and light rain.** Northerly flow and high humidity have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further despite the season's typical September baseline of around 20°C. Recent observations through the evening confirm readings hovering in the 18–20°C range, aligning with the dominant outcome. Only a rapid clearing of skies or unexpected dry slot could allow greater nocturnal cooling and shift the result toward 18°C or lower, though current conditions make such a deviation unlikely before final station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$11,761Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 19°C minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 10, driven by consensus forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that level under persistent cloud cover and light rain.** Northerly flow and high humidity have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further despite the season's typical September baseline of around 20°C. Recent observations through the evening confirm readings hovering in the 18–20°C range, aligning with the dominant outcome. Only a rapid clearing of skies or unexpected dry slot could allow greater nocturnal cooling and shift the result toward 18°C or lower, though current conditions make such a deviation unlikely before final station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,761Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 19°C minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 10, driven by consensus forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that level under persistent cloud cover and light rain.** Northerly flow and high humidity have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further despite the season's typical September baseline of around 20°C. Recent observations through the evening confirm readings hovering in the 18–20°C range, aligning with the dominant outcome. Only a rapid clearing of skies or unexpected dry slot could allow greater nocturnal cooling and shift the result toward 18°C or lower, though current conditions make such a deviation unlikely before final station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions