**Persistent southeasterly winds and extensive cloud cover are the main factors capping the expected high temperature in Buenos Aires on September 11.** Recent observations show a shift from northerly flow that produced 19°C on September 9 to cooler, more humid easterly winds, with National Meteorological Service guidance and multiple forecast models converging on afternoon maxima near 16–17°C under overcast skies. This setup limits solar heating and favors the market’s closely bunched probabilities around 17–19°C, while the modest chance of 20°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any brief clearing. Historical September averages near 18–20°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors values at or below the recent daily peaks. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the 11th will be the key data points for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires no dia 11 de setembro?
19°C 34%
18°C 24%
20°C 18%
17°C 12%
14°C ou menos
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
12%
18°C
24%
19°C
34%
20°C
18%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C ou mais
<1%
19°C 34%
18°C 24%
20°C 18%
17°C 12%
14°C ou menos
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
12%
18°C
24%
19°C
34%
20°C
18%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southeasterly winds and extensive cloud cover are the main factors capping the expected high temperature in Buenos Aires on September 11.** Recent observations show a shift from northerly flow that produced 19°C on September 9 to cooler, more humid easterly winds, with National Meteorological Service guidance and multiple forecast models converging on afternoon maxima near 16–17°C under overcast skies. This setup limits solar heating and favors the market’s closely bunched probabilities around 17–19°C, while the modest chance of 20°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any brief clearing. Historical September averages near 18–20°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors values at or below the recent daily peaks. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the 11th will be the key data points for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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