Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting global models indicate daytime highs in Moscow on September 11, 2026, will range from 17–19°C amid a frontal passage, westerly winds of 6–11 m/s with gusts, variable cloud cover, and scattered rain that suppresses insolation and limits afternoon warming. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 17.3°C and underpins the market's overwhelming 97.5% implied probability on 18°C as the daily maximum at the resolution station. Traders have incorporated the latest ensemble consensus showing peak readings most likely near 18°C before cooler advection strengthens. Brief clearing or lighter precipitation could allow a push toward 19°C, while heavier rain or stronger winds would favor 17°C or lower.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo no dia 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo no dia 11 de setembro?
18°C 96%
19°C 3%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$49,628 Vol.
$49,628 Vol.
11 set 2026
12°C ou menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
96%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou mais
<1%
18°C 96%
19°C 3%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$49,628 Vol.
$49,628 Vol.
11 set 2026
12°C ou menos
$872 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$801 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$559 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,081 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$15,155 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$17,532 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$7,351 Vol.
96%
19°C
$2,518 Vol.
3%
20°C
$1,599 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,152 Vol.
<1%
22°C ou mais
$1,009 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting global models indicate daytime highs in Moscow on September 11, 2026, will range from 17–19°C amid a frontal passage, westerly winds of 6–11 m/s with gusts, variable cloud cover, and scattered rain that suppresses insolation and limits afternoon warming. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 17.3°C and underpins the market's overwhelming 97.5% implied probability on 18°C as the daily maximum at the resolution station. Traders have incorporated the latest ensemble consensus showing peak readings most likely near 18°C before cooler advection strengthens. Brief clearing or lighter precipitation could allow a push toward 19°C, while heavier rain or stronger winds would favor 17°C or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$49,628Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting global models indicate daytime highs in Moscow on September 11, 2026, will range from 17–19°C amid a frontal passage, westerly winds of 6–11 m/s with gusts, variable cloud cover, and scattered rain that suppresses insolation and limits afternoon warming. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 17.3°C and underpins the market's overwhelming 97.5% implied probability on 18°C as the daily maximum at the resolution station. Traders have incorporated the latest ensemble consensus showing peak readings most likely near 18°C before cooler advection strengthens. Brief clearing or lighter precipitation could allow a push toward 19°C, while heavier rain or stronger winds would favor 17°C or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49,628Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting global models indicate daytime highs in Moscow on September 11, 2026, will range from 17–19°C amid a frontal passage, westerly winds of 6–11 m/s with gusts, variable cloud cover, and scattered rain that suppresses insolation and limits afternoon warming. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 17.3°C and underpins the market's overwhelming 97.5% implied probability on 18°C as the daily maximum at the resolution station. Traders have incorporated the latest ensemble consensus showing peak readings most likely near 18°C before cooler advection strengthens. Brief clearing or lighter precipitation could allow a push toward 19°C, while heavier rain or stronger winds would favor 17°C or lower.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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