**Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological sources and global models (GFS-based) indicate a maximum temperature of 16–18°C in Moscow on September 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–4 m/s, and stable high pressure near 750 mmHg.** This positions 17°C as the consensus outcome (46% implied probability), followed by 16°C and 18°C, aligning closely with the long-term average high of 16.9°C for the date. No significant warm or cold advection is expected, and precipitation chances remain low. Model runs released on September 12 show minimal spread, supporting tight clustering around these values rather than outliers. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and ensemble consistency, with limited room for revision before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 13 de setembro?
17°C 47%
16°C 28%
18°C 16%
15°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
13°C ou menos
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
28%
17°C
47%
18°C
16%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C ou mais
<1%
17°C 47%
16°C 28%
18°C 16%
15°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
13°C ou menos
$286 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$173 Vol.
1%
15°C
$114 Vol.
5%
16°C
$289 Vol.
28%
17°C
$850 Vol.
47%
18°C
$451 Vol.
16%
19°C
$363 Vol.
4%
20°C
$272 Vol.
1%
21°C
$265 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$147 Vol.
<1%
23°C ou mais
$147 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological sources and global models (GFS-based) indicate a maximum temperature of 16–18°C in Moscow on September 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–4 m/s, and stable high pressure near 750 mmHg.**
This positions 17°C as the consensus outcome (46% implied probability), followed by 16°C and 18°C, aligning closely with the long-term average high of 16.9°C for the date. No significant warm or cold advection is expected, and precipitation chances remain low. Model runs released on September 12 show minimal spread, supporting tight clustering around these values rather than outliers. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and ensemble consistency, with limited room for revision before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,356Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological sources and global models (GFS-based) indicate a maximum temperature of 16–18°C in Moscow on September 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–4 m/s, and stable high pressure near 750 mmHg.**
This positions 17°C as the consensus outcome (46% implied probability), followed by 16°C and 18°C, aligning closely with the long-term average high of 16.9°C for the date. No significant warm or cold advection is expected, and precipitation chances remain low. Model runs released on September 12 show minimal spread, supporting tight clustering around these values rather than outliers. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and ensemble consistency, with limited room for revision before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,356Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological sources and global models (GFS-based) indicate a maximum temperature of 16–18°C in Moscow on September 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–4 m/s, and stable high pressure near 750 mmHg.** This positions 17°C as the consensus outcome (46% implied probability), followed by 16°C and 18°C, aligning closely with the long-term average high of 16.9°C for the date. No significant warm or cold advection is expected, and precipitation chances remain low. Model runs released on September 12 show minimal spread, supporting tight clustering around these values rather than outliers. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and ensemble consistency, with limited room for revision before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions