Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime low of 6°C in Moscow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and no precipitation expected. Model consensus, including GFS runs, aligns closely with this projection, consistent with typical early September climatology for the region where overnight minima often settle near 6–8°C. The market's 95% implied probability on 6°C reflects strong trader confidence in these authoritative data and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge could arise from unanticipated shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that either enhance radiative cooling or introduce warmer advection, potentially altering the exact minimum by 1–2°C before final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 13 de setembro?
6°C 95%
4°C 28.2%
2°C ou menos 5.9%
3°C <1%
$3,475 Vol.
$3,475 Vol.
13 set 2026
2°C ou menos
Não
3°C
Não
4°C
Não
5°C
Não
6°C
Sim
7°C
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C ou mais
Não
6°C 95%
4°C 28.2%
2°C ou menos 5.9%
3°C <1%
$3,475 Vol.
$3,475 Vol.
13 set 2026
2°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
Não
3°C
$65 Vol.
Não
4°C
$5 Vol.
Não
5°C
$125 Vol.
Não
6°C
$709 Vol.
Sim
7°C
$232 Vol.
Não
8°C
$217 Vol.
Não
9°C
$133 Vol.
Não
10°C
$0 Vol.
Não
11°C
$1,975 Vol.
Não
12°C ou mais
$15 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime low of 6°C in Moscow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and no precipitation expected. Model consensus, including GFS runs, aligns closely with this projection, consistent with typical early September climatology for the region where overnight minima often settle near 6–8°C. The market's 95% implied probability on 6°C reflects strong trader confidence in these authoritative data and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge could arise from unanticipated shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that either enhance radiative cooling or introduce warmer advection, potentially altering the exact minimum by 1–2°C before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$3,475Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime low of 6°C in Moscow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and no precipitation expected. Model consensus, including GFS runs, aligns closely with this projection, consistent with typical early September climatology for the region where overnight minima often settle near 6–8°C. The market's 95% implied probability on 6°C reflects strong trader confidence in these authoritative data and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge could arise from unanticipated shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that either enhance radiative cooling or introduce warmer advection, potentially altering the exact minimum by 1–2°C before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,475Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime low of 6°C in Moscow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and no precipitation expected. Model consensus, including GFS runs, aligns closely with this projection, consistent with typical early September climatology for the region where overnight minima often settle near 6–8°C. The market's 95% implied probability on 6°C reflects strong trader confidence in these authoritative data and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge could arise from unanticipated shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that either enhance radiative cooling or introduce warmer advection, potentially altering the exact minimum by 1–2°C before final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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