Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds for Hong Kong on September 14, supporting maximum temperatures in the 29–32°C range amid typical late-summer humidity near 70%. A nearby tropical depression and scattered showers introduce variability, with higher cloud cover or precipitation potentially capping the daily peak closer to 30°C while clearer intervals could push readings toward 32°C. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, though 2026’s elevated baseline from broader warming trends slightly favors the upper end of trader-implied probabilities. Updated official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory on the 13th will refine steering patterns and instability ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 14 de setembro?
31°C 32%
32°C 27%
30°C 16%
33°C 13%
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
16%
31°C
32%
32°C
27%
33°C
13%
34°C
3%
35°C
5%
36°C ou mais
<1%
31°C 32%
32°C 27%
30°C 16%
33°C 13%
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
16%
31°C
32%
32°C
27%
33°C
13%
34°C
3%
35°C
5%
36°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds for Hong Kong on September 14, supporting maximum temperatures in the 29–32°C range amid typical late-summer humidity near 70%. A nearby tropical depression and scattered showers introduce variability, with higher cloud cover or precipitation potentially capping the daily peak closer to 30°C while clearer intervals could push readings toward 32°C. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, though 2026’s elevated baseline from broader warming trends slightly favors the upper end of trader-implied probabilities. Updated official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory on the 13th will refine steering patterns and instability ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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