**Forecast models from sources like GFS and European centers indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on September 12 will likely peak near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow.** This follows a sharp cooldown after September 10's +24–26°C warmth, with a frontal passage and showers on the 11th advecting cooler maritime air. Persistent cloud cover will limit insolation and daytime heating, keeping values close to the 1991–2020 September 12 climatological average high of 17.1°C. Trader positioning, with 17°C at 40.5% and 16°C at 26%, aligns with this consensus while pricing in modest model spread and potential for slight under- or over-performance depending on exact cloud timing and wind strength. Updated runs closer to the date will refine the exact maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 12 de setembro?
17°C 41%
16°C 24%
15°C 15%
18°C 14%
12°C ou menos
<1%
13°C
6%
14°C
6%
15°C
15%
16°C
24%
17°C
41%
18°C
14%
19°C
8%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C ou mais
<1%
17°C 41%
16°C 24%
15°C 15%
18°C 14%
12°C ou menos
<1%
13°C
6%
14°C
6%
15°C
15%
16°C
24%
17°C
41%
18°C
14%
19°C
8%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like GFS and European centers indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on September 12 will likely peak near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow.** This follows a sharp cooldown after September 10's +24–26°C warmth, with a frontal passage and showers on the 11th advecting cooler maritime air. Persistent cloud cover will limit insolation and daytime heating, keeping values close to the 1991–2020 September 12 climatological average high of 17.1°C. Trader positioning, with 17°C at 40.5% and 16°C at 26%, aligns with this consensus while pricing in modest model spread and potential for slight under- or over-performance depending on exact cloud timing and wind strength. Updated runs closer to the date will refine the exact maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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