Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and ensemble model runs indicate an overnight minimum near 8–9°C in Moscow on September 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds of 6–11 m/s limiting radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 8.6°C for the date. Trader consensus, reflected in near-equal implied probabilities for 8°C and 9°C, tracks these guidance products while assigning moderate weight to cooler outcomes if clearer conditions or lighter winds develop. Resolution depends on official station observations of the calendar-day minimum, with final data typically available shortly after midnight local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 12 de setembro?
9°C 51%
4°C ou menos 50%
7°C 10%
6°C 6%
$284 Vol.
$284 Vol.
4°C ou menos
50%
5°C
4%
6°C
6%
7°C
10%
8°C
-
9°C
51%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C ou mais
<1%
9°C 51%
4°C ou menos 50%
7°C 10%
6°C 6%
$284 Vol.
$284 Vol.
4°C ou menos
50%
5°C
4%
6°C
6%
7°C
10%
8°C
-
9°C
51%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and ensemble model runs indicate an overnight minimum near 8–9°C in Moscow on September 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds of 6–11 m/s limiting radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 8.6°C for the date. Trader consensus, reflected in near-equal implied probabilities for 8°C and 9°C, tracks these guidance products while assigning moderate weight to cooler outcomes if clearer conditions or lighter winds develop. Resolution depends on official station observations of the calendar-day minimum, with final data typically available shortly after midnight local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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