Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model runs indicate a daytime peak of 24–26°C in Moscow on September 10 under light southerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and no precipitation. This places the most probable high near 25°C, consistent with market-implied odds favoring that outcome. The warmth represents an above-normal anomaly relative to the September climatological average high near 18°C, driven by persistent southerly advection and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Minor model spread around the exact maximum—coupled with potential for slight afternoon cooling or localized variations—supports secondary probabilities on 24°C and 26°C, while extremes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated observations through the afternoon will refine the final recorded high ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 10 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 10 de setembro?
25°C 76%
24°C 19%
26°C 8%
23°C 1.4%
$12,971 Vol.
$12,971 Vol.
10 set 2026
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
19%
25°C
76%
26°C
8%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 76%
24°C 19%
26°C 8%
23°C 1.4%
$12,971 Vol.
$12,971 Vol.
10 set 2026
18°C ou menos
$603 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$607 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$324 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,617 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,643 Vol.
19%
25°C
$3,214 Vol.
76%
26°C
$1,988 Vol.
8%
27°C
$987 Vol.
<1%
28°C ou mais
$397 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model runs indicate a daytime peak of 24–26°C in Moscow on September 10 under light southerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and no precipitation. This places the most probable high near 25°C, consistent with market-implied odds favoring that outcome. The warmth represents an above-normal anomaly relative to the September climatological average high near 18°C, driven by persistent southerly advection and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Minor model spread around the exact maximum—coupled with potential for slight afternoon cooling or localized variations—supports secondary probabilities on 24°C and 26°C, while extremes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated observations through the afternoon will refine the final recorded high ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$12,971Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model runs indicate a daytime peak of 24–26°C in Moscow on September 10 under light southerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and no precipitation. This places the most probable high near 25°C, consistent with market-implied odds favoring that outcome. The warmth represents an above-normal anomaly relative to the September climatological average high near 18°C, driven by persistent southerly advection and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Minor model spread around the exact maximum—coupled with potential for slight afternoon cooling or localized variations—supports secondary probabilities on 24°C and 26°C, while extremes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated observations through the afternoon will refine the final recorded high ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,971Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model runs indicate a daytime peak of 24–26°C in Moscow on September 10 under light southerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and no precipitation. This places the most probable high near 25°C, consistent with market-implied odds favoring that outcome. The warmth represents an above-normal anomaly relative to the September climatological average high near 18°C, driven by persistent southerly advection and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Minor model spread around the exact maximum—coupled with potential for slight afternoon cooling or localized variations—supports secondary probabilities on 24°C and 26°C, while extremes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated observations through the afternoon will refine the final recorded high ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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