Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Manila's overnight low on September 12 will settle near 25–26°C, aligning with the market's strong 90% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high humidity near 85–90%, light variable winds under 5 knots, and extensive cloud cover from the ongoing monsoon pattern limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to the seasonal tropical baseline of 25–26°C. Recent model runs show no significant cool-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that would drive readings to 24°C or below, while the absence of extreme daytime heating caps the chance of an anomalously mild night above 27°C. Traders appear to be weighting official guidance from agencies tracking these stable conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Manila em 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Manila em 12 de setembro?
26°C 99.5%
21°C ou menos 99%
25°C 94%
22°C 7.8%
$540 Vol.
$540 Vol.
12 set 2026
21°C ou menos
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Sim
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C ou mais
Não
26°C 99.5%
21°C ou menos 99%
25°C 94%
22°C 7.8%
$540 Vol.
$540 Vol.
12 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
Não
22°C
$0 Vol.
Não
23°C
$47 Vol.
Não
24°C
$82 Vol.
Não
25°C
$26 Vol.
Não
26°C
$212 Vol.
Sim
27°C
$173 Vol.
Não
28°C
$0 Vol.
Não
29°C
$0 Vol.
Não
30°C
$0 Vol.
Não
31°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Manila's overnight low on September 12 will settle near 25–26°C, aligning with the market's strong 90% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high humidity near 85–90%, light variable winds under 5 knots, and extensive cloud cover from the ongoing monsoon pattern limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to the seasonal tropical baseline of 25–26°C. Recent model runs show no significant cool-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that would drive readings to 24°C or below, while the absence of extreme daytime heating caps the chance of an anomalously mild night above 27°C. Traders appear to be weighting official guidance from agencies tracking these stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$540Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Manila's overnight low on September 12 will settle near 25–26°C, aligning with the market's strong 90% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high humidity near 85–90%, light variable winds under 5 knots, and extensive cloud cover from the ongoing monsoon pattern limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to the seasonal tropical baseline of 25–26°C. Recent model runs show no significant cool-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that would drive readings to 24°C or below, while the absence of extreme daytime heating caps the chance of an anomalously mild night above 27°C. Traders appear to be weighting official guidance from agencies tracking these stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$540Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Manila's overnight low on September 12 will settle near 25–26°C, aligning with the market's strong 90% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high humidity near 85–90%, light variable winds under 5 knots, and extensive cloud cover from the ongoing monsoon pattern limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to the seasonal tropical baseline of 25–26°C. Recent model runs show no significant cool-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that would drive readings to 24°C or below, while the absence of extreme daytime heating caps the chance of an anomalously mild night above 27°C. Traders appear to be weighting official guidance from agencies tracking these stable conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions