Current forecasts from MetService-aligned sources indicate a daytime maximum near 15°C for Wellington on September 13, with hourly peaks around midday under mostly fine conditions and light-to-moderate winds. Northerly or westerly flows could advect slightly warmer air, supporting 16°C outcomes in some ensemble members, while a southerly change would favor cooler 14°C readings. Spring insolation and variable sea breezes typical of the region create narrow uncertainty bands around these thresholds, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds of 44% for 15°C and 41.5% for 16°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 13 de setembro?
15°C 47%
16°C 34%
14°C 12%
13°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
10°C ou menos
<1%
11°C
4%
12°C
5%
13°C
6%
14°C
12%
15°C
47%
16°C
34%
17°C
4%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C ou mais
<1%
15°C 47%
16°C 34%
14°C 12%
13°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
10°C ou menos
$41 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
4%
12°C
$0 Vol.
5%
13°C
$0 Vol.
6%
14°C
$81 Vol.
12%
15°C
$196 Vol.
47%
16°C
$142 Vol.
34%
17°C
$0 Vol.
4%
18°C
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C
$0 Vol.
1%
20°C ou mais
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService-aligned sources indicate a daytime maximum near 15°C for Wellington on September 13, with hourly peaks around midday under mostly fine conditions and light-to-moderate winds. Northerly or westerly flows could advect slightly warmer air, supporting 16°C outcomes in some ensemble members, while a southerly change would favor cooler 14°C readings. Spring insolation and variable sea breezes typical of the region create narrow uncertainty bands around these thresholds, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds of 44% for 15°C and 41.5% for 16°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$469Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService-aligned sources indicate a daytime maximum near 15°C for Wellington on September 13, with hourly peaks around midday under mostly fine conditions and light-to-moderate winds. Northerly or westerly flows could advect slightly warmer air, supporting 16°C outcomes in some ensemble members, while a southerly change would favor cooler 14°C readings. Spring insolation and variable sea breezes typical of the region create narrow uncertainty bands around these thresholds, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds of 44% for 15°C and 41.5% for 16°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$469Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from MetService-aligned sources indicate a daytime maximum near 15°C for Wellington on September 13, with hourly peaks around midday under mostly fine conditions and light-to-moderate winds. Northerly or westerly flows could advect slightly warmer air, supporting 16°C outcomes in some ensemble members, while a southerly change would favor cooler 14°C readings. Spring insolation and variable sea breezes typical of the region create narrow uncertainty bands around these thresholds, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds of 44% for 15°C and 41.5% for 16°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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