Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 15 most likely between 32–34°C, aligning with the historical average high of 32.0°C for that date and current conditions featuring partly cloudy skies, light winds, and 60–80% chances of thunderstorms. These storms, driven by lingering subtropical moisture and diurnal convection, introduce the main uncertainty by limiting peak solar heating and potentially capping the maximum through evaporative cooling or cloud cover. Ensemble spreads show modest potential for clearer intervals allowing 35°C or localized suppression to 33°C, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model guidance later on September 14 will further narrow resolution criteria based on verified daily maximum readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 15 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 15 de setembro?
34°C 34%
35°C 24%
33°C 23%
32°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
27°C ou menos
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
13%
33°C
23%
34°C
34%
35°C
24%
36°C
5%
37°C ou mais
2%
34°C 34%
35°C 24%
33°C 23%
32°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
27°C ou menos
$10 Vol.
1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
1%
29°C
$9 Vol.
1%
30°C
$50 Vol.
2%
31°C
$88 Vol.
6%
32°C
$5 Vol.
13%
33°C
$13 Vol.
23%
34°C
$3 Vol.
34%
35°C
$146 Vol.
24%
36°C
$269 Vol.
5%
37°C ou mais
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 15 most likely between 32–34°C, aligning with the historical average high of 32.0°C for that date and current conditions featuring partly cloudy skies, light winds, and 60–80% chances of thunderstorms. These storms, driven by lingering subtropical moisture and diurnal convection, introduce the main uncertainty by limiting peak solar heating and potentially capping the maximum through evaporative cooling or cloud cover. Ensemble spreads show modest potential for clearer intervals allowing 35°C or localized suppression to 33°C, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model guidance later on September 14 will further narrow resolution criteria based on verified daily maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Volume
$613Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 15 most likely between 32–34°C, aligning with the historical average high of 32.0°C for that date and current conditions featuring partly cloudy skies, light winds, and 60–80% chances of thunderstorms. These storms, driven by lingering subtropical moisture and diurnal convection, introduce the main uncertainty by limiting peak solar heating and potentially capping the maximum through evaporative cooling or cloud cover. Ensemble spreads show modest potential for clearer intervals allowing 35°C or localized suppression to 33°C, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model guidance later on September 14 will further narrow resolution criteria based on verified daily maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$613Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 15 most likely between 32–34°C, aligning with the historical average high of 32.0°C for that date and current conditions featuring partly cloudy skies, light winds, and 60–80% chances of thunderstorms. These storms, driven by lingering subtropical moisture and diurnal convection, introduce the main uncertainty by limiting peak solar heating and potentially capping the maximum through evaporative cooling or cloud cover. Ensemble spreads show modest potential for clearer intervals allowing 35°C or localized suppression to 33°C, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model guidance later on September 14 will further narrow resolution criteria based on verified daily maximum readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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