Recent model runs from GFS and regional ensembles show clear skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity supporting radiative cooling overnight, with the lowest temperature on September 15 most likely falling in the 16–17 °C range that currently commands over 60 % combined market-implied probability. This aligns with observed 14–18 °C spreads across official guidance, where minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or dew-point depression can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Incheon’s coastal location and Seoul’s urban heat-island effect add slight upward bias relative to rural analogs, while stable high pressure precludes significant advection or cloud cover that might raise the floor. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus Korea Meteorological Administration observations will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 15 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 15 de setembro?
16°C 37%
17°C 33%
18°C 15%
15°C 15%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
12°C ou menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
15%
16°C
37%
17°C
33%
18°C
15%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou mais
1%
16°C 37%
17°C 33%
18°C 15%
15°C 15%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
12°C ou menos
$105 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$103 Vol.
4%
15°C
$243 Vol.
15%
16°C
$390 Vol.
37%
17°C
$857 Vol.
33%
18°C
$159 Vol.
15%
19°C
$198 Vol.
5%
20°C
$195 Vol.
5%
21°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
22°C ou mais
$98 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from GFS and regional ensembles show clear skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity supporting radiative cooling overnight, with the lowest temperature on September 15 most likely falling in the 16–17 °C range that currently commands over 60 % combined market-implied probability. This aligns with observed 14–18 °C spreads across official guidance, where minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or dew-point depression can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Incheon’s coastal location and Seoul’s urban heat-island effect add slight upward bias relative to rural analogs, while stable high pressure precludes significant advection or cloud cover that might raise the floor. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus Korea Meteorological Administration observations will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$2,596Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from GFS and regional ensembles show clear skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity supporting radiative cooling overnight, with the lowest temperature on September 15 most likely falling in the 16–17 °C range that currently commands over 60 % combined market-implied probability. This aligns with observed 14–18 °C spreads across official guidance, where minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or dew-point depression can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Incheon’s coastal location and Seoul’s urban heat-island effect add slight upward bias relative to rural analogs, while stable high pressure precludes significant advection or cloud cover that might raise the floor. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus Korea Meteorological Administration observations will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,596Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from GFS and regional ensembles show clear skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity supporting radiative cooling overnight, with the lowest temperature on September 15 most likely falling in the 16–17 °C range that currently commands over 60 % combined market-implied probability. This aligns with observed 14–18 °C spreads across official guidance, where minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or dew-point depression can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Incheon’s coastal location and Seoul’s urban heat-island effect add slight upward bias relative to rural analogs, while stable high pressure precludes significant advection or cloud cover that might raise the floor. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus Korea Meteorological Administration observations will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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