**Trader consensus strongly favors 16°C as the lowest temperature recorded at Incheon (Seoul’s official station) on September 16, 2026, with 96.5% market-implied probability.** This positioning aligns with Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts specifying a daily minimum of 16°C and maximum of 27°C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions. Multiple models and observational updates show overnight lows bottoming near 16–18°C, consistent with typical mid-September radiative cooling under light easterly winds and low humidity. Historical September averages for Incheon (around 18°C lows) provide context, but the current synoptic pattern supports the tighter 16°C threshold. Realistic challenges include unexpected model divergence, localized cooling from clearer-than-forecast skies, or station-specific measurement variations that could push the recorded minimum to 15°C or below.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 16 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 16 de setembro?
16°C 97%
15°C 6%
12°C 1.0%
11°C ou menos <1%
$12,245 Vol.
$12,245 Vol.
16 set 2026
11°C ou menos
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
97%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C ou superior
<1%
16°C 97%
15°C 6%
12°C 1.0%
11°C ou menos <1%
$12,245 Vol.
$12,245 Vol.
16 set 2026
11°C ou menos
$146 Vol.
1%
12°C
$156 Vol.
1%
13°C
$96 Vol.
1%
14°C
$149 Vol.
1%
15°C
$2,120 Vol.
6%
16°C
$2,857 Vol.
97%
17°C
$2,992 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,282 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,059 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$132 Vol.
<1%
21°C ou superior
$1,257 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 16°C as the lowest temperature recorded at Incheon (Seoul’s official station) on September 16, 2026, with 96.5% market-implied probability.** This positioning aligns with Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts specifying a daily minimum of 16°C and maximum of 27°C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions. Multiple models and observational updates show overnight lows bottoming near 16–18°C, consistent with typical mid-September radiative cooling under light easterly winds and low humidity. Historical September averages for Incheon (around 18°C lows) provide context, but the current synoptic pattern supports the tighter 16°C threshold.
Realistic challenges include unexpected model divergence, localized cooling from clearer-than-forecast skies, or station-specific measurement variations that could push the recorded minimum to 15°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$12,245Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 16°C as the lowest temperature recorded at Incheon (Seoul’s official station) on September 16, 2026, with 96.5% market-implied probability.** This positioning aligns with Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts specifying a daily minimum of 16°C and maximum of 27°C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions. Multiple models and observational updates show overnight lows bottoming near 16–18°C, consistent with typical mid-September radiative cooling under light easterly winds and low humidity. Historical September averages for Incheon (around 18°C lows) provide context, but the current synoptic pattern supports the tighter 16°C threshold.
Realistic challenges include unexpected model divergence, localized cooling from clearer-than-forecast skies, or station-specific measurement variations that could push the recorded minimum to 15°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,245Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 16°C as the lowest temperature recorded at Incheon (Seoul’s official station) on September 16, 2026, with 96.5% market-implied probability.** This positioning aligns with Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts specifying a daily minimum of 16°C and maximum of 27°C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions. Multiple models and observational updates show overnight lows bottoming near 16–18°C, consistent with typical mid-September radiative cooling under light easterly winds and low humidity. Historical September averages for Incheon (around 18°C lows) provide context, but the current synoptic pattern supports the tighter 16°C threshold. Realistic challenges include unexpected model divergence, localized cooling from clearer-than-forecast skies, or station-specific measurement variations that could push the recorded minimum to 15°C or below.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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