Recent cold air advection and associated rainfall across central China have introduced notable uncertainty into short-term forecasts for Wuhan's minimum temperature on September 18. Model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to a frontal passage bringing cloud cover, showers, and suppressed daytime heating, with projected overnight lows clustered near 19–21 °C amid northeasterly flow. This setup compresses the diurnal temperature range relative to climatological norms of roughly 20–22 °C for mid-September, while residual moisture and variable wind speeds add resolution risk for the precise minimum. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-15 °C and 24 °C-plus outcomes because ensemble spreads in numerical weather prediction still allow for modest forecast adjustments before final observations are recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 18 de setembro?
14°C ou menos 96%
24°C ou mais 93%
18°C 40%
15°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
14°C ou menos
96%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
40%
19°C
25%
20°C
20%
21°C
19%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C ou mais
93%
14°C ou menos 96%
24°C ou mais 93%
18°C 40%
15°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
14°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
96%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
40%
19°C
$0 Vol.
25%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$125 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection and associated rainfall across central China have introduced notable uncertainty into short-term forecasts for Wuhan's minimum temperature on September 18. Model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to a frontal passage bringing cloud cover, showers, and suppressed daytime heating, with projected overnight lows clustered near 19–21 °C amid northeasterly flow. This setup compresses the diurnal temperature range relative to climatological norms of roughly 20–22 °C for mid-September, while residual moisture and variable wind speeds add resolution risk for the precise minimum. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-15 °C and 24 °C-plus outcomes because ensemble spreads in numerical weather prediction still allow for modest forecast adjustments before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$125Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection and associated rainfall across central China have introduced notable uncertainty into short-term forecasts for Wuhan's minimum temperature on September 18. Model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to a frontal passage bringing cloud cover, showers, and suppressed daytime heating, with projected overnight lows clustered near 19–21 °C amid northeasterly flow. This setup compresses the diurnal temperature range relative to climatological norms of roughly 20–22 °C for mid-September, while residual moisture and variable wind speeds add resolution risk for the precise minimum. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-15 °C and 24 °C-plus outcomes because ensemble spreads in numerical weather prediction still allow for modest forecast adjustments before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$125Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air advection and associated rainfall across central China have introduced notable uncertainty into short-term forecasts for Wuhan's minimum temperature on September 18. Model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to a frontal passage bringing cloud cover, showers, and suppressed daytime heating, with projected overnight lows clustered near 19–21 °C amid northeasterly flow. This setup compresses the diurnal temperature range relative to climatological norms of roughly 20–22 °C for mid-September, while residual moisture and variable wind speeds add resolution risk for the precise minimum. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-15 °C and 24 °C-plus outcomes because ensemble spreads in numerical weather prediction still allow for modest forecast adjustments before final observations are recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions