Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows for Istanbul on September 18 in the 16–19°C range, driven by northeasterly winds, moderate humidity around 60–80%, and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk. Ensemble consensus and historical September baselines support this mid-range outcome, though slight model spreads in boundary-layer cooling and wind patterns create uncertainty around the precise minimum. The near-even market split between sub-14°C and 23°C+ tails reflects trader focus on tail risks from potential forecast revisions or localized microclimate effects, while the flat 20% distribution across 14–22°C bins captures the core expected range amid ongoing data updates from regional agencies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 18 de setembro?
13°C ou menos 90%
23°C ou mais 90%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
13°C ou menos
90%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C ou mais
90%
13°C ou menos 90%
23°C ou mais 90%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
13°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
90%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
40%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
40%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows for Istanbul on September 18 in the 16–19°C range, driven by northeasterly winds, moderate humidity around 60–80%, and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk. Ensemble consensus and historical September baselines support this mid-range outcome, though slight model spreads in boundary-layer cooling and wind patterns create uncertainty around the precise minimum. The near-even market split between sub-14°C and 23°C+ tails reflects trader focus on tail risks from potential forecast revisions or localized microclimate effects, while the flat 20% distribution across 14–22°C bins captures the core expected range amid ongoing data updates from regional agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows for Istanbul on September 18 in the 16–19°C range, driven by northeasterly winds, moderate humidity around 60–80%, and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk. Ensemble consensus and historical September baselines support this mid-range outcome, though slight model spreads in boundary-layer cooling and wind patterns create uncertainty around the precise minimum. The near-even market split between sub-14°C and 23°C+ tails reflects trader focus on tail risks from potential forecast revisions or localized microclimate effects, while the flat 20% distribution across 14–22°C bins captures the core expected range amid ongoing data updates from regional agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows for Istanbul on September 18 in the 16–19°C range, driven by northeasterly winds, moderate humidity around 60–80%, and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk. Ensemble consensus and historical September baselines support this mid-range outcome, though slight model spreads in boundary-layer cooling and wind patterns create uncertainty around the precise minimum. The near-even market split between sub-14°C and 23°C+ tails reflects trader focus on tail risks from potential forecast revisions or localized microclimate effects, while the flat 20% distribution across 14–22°C bins captures the core expected range amid ongoing data updates from regional agencies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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