Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Guangzhou on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and widespread rain expected overnight under light northerly winds. These conditions suppress radiative cooling in the city's subtropical climate, where September averages hover near 24°C lows amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold advection or clear-sky episodes that could push readings toward 20°C or below. Trader positioning reflects this, with 25°C and 26°C outcomes commanding the highest implied probabilities while lower or much warmer extremes remain discounted absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou em 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou em 14 de setembro?
20°C ou menos 52%
30°C ou mais 52%
25°C 46%
22°C 37%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
20°C ou menos
52%
21°C
13%
22°C
37%
23°C
34%
24°C
21%
25°C
46%
26°C
32%
27°C
37%
28°C
17%
29°C
17%
30°C ou mais
52%
20°C ou menos 52%
30°C ou mais 52%
25°C 46%
22°C 37%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
20°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
52%
21°C
$0 Vol.
13%
22°C
$0 Vol.
37%
23°C
$0 Vol.
34%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$12 Vol.
46%
26°C
$0 Vol.
32%
27°C
$0 Vol.
37%
28°C
$0 Vol.
17%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Guangzhou on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and widespread rain expected overnight under light northerly winds. These conditions suppress radiative cooling in the city's subtropical climate, where September averages hover near 24°C lows amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold advection or clear-sky episodes that could push readings toward 20°C or below. Trader positioning reflects this, with 25°C and 26°C outcomes commanding the highest implied probabilities while lower or much warmer extremes remain discounted absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$12Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Guangzhou on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and widespread rain expected overnight under light northerly winds. These conditions suppress radiative cooling in the city's subtropical climate, where September averages hover near 24°C lows amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold advection or clear-sky episodes that could push readings toward 20°C or below. Trader positioning reflects this, with 25°C and 26°C outcomes commanding the highest implied probabilities while lower or much warmer extremes remain discounted absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Guangzhou on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and widespread rain expected overnight under light northerly winds. These conditions suppress radiative cooling in the city's subtropical climate, where September averages hover near 24°C lows amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold advection or clear-sky episodes that could push readings toward 20°C or below. Trader positioning reflects this, with 25°C and 26°C outcomes commanding the highest implied probabilities while lower or much warmer extremes remain discounted absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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