Recent forecasts indicate persistent moisture and thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen on September 13, with models showing easterly flow advecting humid air and widespread cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This setup favors peak temperatures near 30–31 °C, aligning with the market’s closest outcomes at 28.5 % for 31 °C and 23 % for 30 °C. Historical September climatology places average highs around 31–32 °C, but the current pattern of moderate rain and reduced insolation introduces downward pressure on extremes. Model spread remains modest, though small shifts in storm timing or intensity could still allow brief clearing and a 32 °C reading. Traders appear to weigh these near-term dynamics heavily against longer-term seasonal baselines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 13 de setembro?
30°C 30%
31°C 30%
32°C 20%
29°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
26°C ou menos
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
10%
29°C
14%
30°C
30%
31°C
30%
32°C
15%
33°C
5%
34°C
8%
35°C
7%
36°C ou mais
4%
30°C 30%
31°C 30%
32°C 20%
29°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
26°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$1 Vol.
8%
28°C
$0 Vol.
10%
29°C
$472 Vol.
14%
30°C
$0 Vol.
30%
31°C
$10 Vol.
30%
32°C
$42 Vol.
15%
33°C
$140 Vol.
5%
34°C
$0 Vol.
8%
35°C
$0 Vol.
7%
36°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate persistent moisture and thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen on September 13, with models showing easterly flow advecting humid air and widespread cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This setup favors peak temperatures near 30–31 °C, aligning with the market’s closest outcomes at 28.5 % for 31 °C and 23 % for 30 °C. Historical September climatology places average highs around 31–32 °C, but the current pattern of moderate rain and reduced insolation introduces downward pressure on extremes. Model spread remains modest, though small shifts in storm timing or intensity could still allow brief clearing and a 32 °C reading. Traders appear to weigh these near-term dynamics heavily against longer-term seasonal baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$664Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate persistent moisture and thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen on September 13, with models showing easterly flow advecting humid air and widespread cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This setup favors peak temperatures near 30–31 °C, aligning with the market’s closest outcomes at 28.5 % for 31 °C and 23 % for 30 °C. Historical September climatology places average highs around 31–32 °C, but the current pattern of moderate rain and reduced insolation introduces downward pressure on extremes. Model spread remains modest, though small shifts in storm timing or intensity could still allow brief clearing and a 32 °C reading. Traders appear to weigh these near-term dynamics heavily against longer-term seasonal baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$664Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate persistent moisture and thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen on September 13, with models showing easterly flow advecting humid air and widespread cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This setup favors peak temperatures near 30–31 °C, aligning with the market’s closest outcomes at 28.5 % for 31 °C and 23 % for 30 °C. Historical September climatology places average highs around 31–32 °C, but the current pattern of moderate rain and reduced insolation introduces downward pressure on extremes. Model spread remains modest, though small shifts in storm timing or intensity could still allow brief clearing and a 32 °C reading. Traders appear to weigh these near-term dynamics heavily against longer-term seasonal baselines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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