Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for Karachi on September 15, driven by a lingering low-pressure system from central India that is enhancing cloud cover, humidity near 80-90%, and isolated thunderstorm chances. These conditions limit nocturnal radiational cooling by trapping longwave radiation and reducing the diurnal temperature range, while moderate southwest winds promote mixing that prevents sharp drops. Historical September baselines show typical overnight lows of 26-28°C, yet model spreads and potential shifts in steering patterns create uncertainty between cooler scenarios under clearer skies and warmer ones with persistent moisture. This balance underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across temperature thresholds, with new official updates expected to refine resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Karachi no dia 15 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Karachi no dia 15 de setembro?
23°C ou menos 82%
33°C ou mais 82%
28°C 40%
24°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
23°C ou menos
82%
24°C
39%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
25%
29°C
21%
30°C
8%
31°C
18%
32°C
17%
33°C ou mais
82%
23°C ou menos 82%
33°C ou mais 82%
28°C 40%
24°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
23°C ou menos
$10 Vol.
82%
24°C
$118 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$5 Vol.
25%
29°C
$24 Vol.
21%
30°C
$10 Vol.
8%
31°C
$10 Vol.
18%
32°C
$10 Vol.
17%
33°C ou mais
$10 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for Karachi on September 15, driven by a lingering low-pressure system from central India that is enhancing cloud cover, humidity near 80-90%, and isolated thunderstorm chances. These conditions limit nocturnal radiational cooling by trapping longwave radiation and reducing the diurnal temperature range, while moderate southwest winds promote mixing that prevents sharp drops. Historical September baselines show typical overnight lows of 26-28°C, yet model spreads and potential shifts in steering patterns create uncertainty between cooler scenarios under clearer skies and warmer ones with persistent moisture. This balance underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across temperature thresholds, with new official updates expected to refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$197Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for Karachi on September 15, driven by a lingering low-pressure system from central India that is enhancing cloud cover, humidity near 80-90%, and isolated thunderstorm chances. These conditions limit nocturnal radiational cooling by trapping longwave radiation and reducing the diurnal temperature range, while moderate southwest winds promote mixing that prevents sharp drops. Historical September baselines show typical overnight lows of 26-28°C, yet model spreads and potential shifts in steering patterns create uncertainty between cooler scenarios under clearer skies and warmer ones with persistent moisture. This balance underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across temperature thresholds, with new official updates expected to refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$197Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for Karachi on September 15, driven by a lingering low-pressure system from central India that is enhancing cloud cover, humidity near 80-90%, and isolated thunderstorm chances. These conditions limit nocturnal radiational cooling by trapping longwave radiation and reducing the diurnal temperature range, while moderate southwest winds promote mixing that prevents sharp drops. Historical September baselines show typical overnight lows of 26-28°C, yet model spreads and potential shifts in steering patterns create uncertainty between cooler scenarios under clearer skies and warmer ones with persistent moisture. This balance underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across temperature thresholds, with new official updates expected to refine resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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