The approaching low-pressure system and associated monsoon moisture over Sindh represent the primary driver behind the near-even market split, as traders weigh its potential to enhance cloud cover, trigger showers, or produce localized cooling versus limited impact on Karachi's coastal regime. Official forecasts from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models currently indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C for September 16, consistent with September climatology of 25–27°C lows, while recent humidity levels above 75% and scattered thunderstorm chances through midweek introduce variability in nocturnal radiative cooling and sea-breeze modulation. Resolution hinges on precise overnight observations, with any heavier rain or persistent overcast conditions favoring the sub-23°C bucket and clearer skies supporting higher minima near or above 28°C. Updated PMD briefings and next model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen consensus ahead of the observation window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Karachi em 16 de setembro?
23°C ou menos 99%
33°C ou mais 98%
28°C 40%
24°C 39%
23°C ou menos
99%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
21%
28°C
40%
29°C
39%
30°C
8%
31°C
39%
32°C
39%
33°C ou mais
98%
23°C ou menos 99%
33°C ou mais 98%
28°C 40%
24°C 39%
23°C ou menos
99%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
21%
28°C
40%
29°C
39%
30°C
8%
31°C
39%
32°C
39%
33°C ou mais
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The approaching low-pressure system and associated monsoon moisture over Sindh represent the primary driver behind the near-even market split, as traders weigh its potential to enhance cloud cover, trigger showers, or produce localized cooling versus limited impact on Karachi's coastal regime. Official forecasts from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models currently indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C for September 16, consistent with September climatology of 25–27°C lows, while recent humidity levels above 75% and scattered thunderstorm chances through midweek introduce variability in nocturnal radiative cooling and sea-breeze modulation. Resolution hinges on precise overnight observations, with any heavier rain or persistent overcast conditions favoring the sub-23°C bucket and clearer skies supporting higher minima near or above 28°C. Updated PMD briefings and next model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen consensus ahead of the observation window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions