Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 15 will likely fall in the low 20s Celsius under stable high pressure and persistent northeasterly winds of 7–12 mph. These conditions favor radiative cooling overnight with partly cloudy to clear skies and dew points around 13–17°C, limiting further drops. Trader consensus centers on 23°C as the mode because ensemble outputs cluster there, with 22°C and 24°C as near alternatives reflecting minor model spread or urban heat-island effects. Historical September baselines near 20–22°C provide context, but the current pattern shows no strong cold-air advection or precipitation to push values lower. Updated model guidance tonight remains the key near-term catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 15 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 15 de setembro?
23°C 53%
24°C 36%
22°C 15%
21°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
15%
23°C
53%
24°C
36%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou mais
<1%
23°C 53%
24°C 36%
22°C 15%
21°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
18°C ou menos
$278 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$275 Vol.
1%
21°C
$583 Vol.
3%
22°C
$1,664 Vol.
15%
23°C
$708 Vol.
53%
24°C
$1,496 Vol.
36%
25°C
$1,100 Vol.
2%
26°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
28°C ou mais
$218 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 15 will likely fall in the low 20s Celsius under stable high pressure and persistent northeasterly winds of 7–12 mph. These conditions favor radiative cooling overnight with partly cloudy to clear skies and dew points around 13–17°C, limiting further drops. Trader consensus centers on 23°C as the mode because ensemble outputs cluster there, with 22°C and 24°C as near alternatives reflecting minor model spread or urban heat-island effects. Historical September baselines near 20–22°C provide context, but the current pattern shows no strong cold-air advection or precipitation to push values lower. Updated model guidance tonight remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$6,858Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 15 will likely fall in the low 20s Celsius under stable high pressure and persistent northeasterly winds of 7–12 mph. These conditions favor radiative cooling overnight with partly cloudy to clear skies and dew points around 13–17°C, limiting further drops. Trader consensus centers on 23°C as the mode because ensemble outputs cluster there, with 22°C and 24°C as near alternatives reflecting minor model spread or urban heat-island effects. Historical September baselines near 20–22°C provide context, but the current pattern shows no strong cold-air advection or precipitation to push values lower. Updated model guidance tonight remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,858Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 15 will likely fall in the low 20s Celsius under stable high pressure and persistent northeasterly winds of 7–12 mph. These conditions favor radiative cooling overnight with partly cloudy to clear skies and dew points around 13–17°C, limiting further drops. Trader consensus centers on 23°C as the mode because ensemble outputs cluster there, with 22°C and 24°C as near alternatives reflecting minor model spread or urban heat-island effects. Historical September baselines near 20–22°C provide context, but the current pattern shows no strong cold-air advection or precipitation to push values lower. Updated model guidance tonight remains the key near-term catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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