**Latest Met Office guidance points to a daytime maximum of 25°C in London on September 14 under a southwesterly flow advecting milder air, with partly cloudy skies and limited shower risk.** Ensemble models show modest spread, with some runs holding highs near 24°C if thicker cloud persists or light rain arrives earlier, while clearer breaks could allow brief peaks toward 26°C. These values sit 4–6°C above the early-September climatological average, reflecting a transient ridge and warm advection before fresher northwesterly air arrives midweek. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 24°C and 25°C, traders are pricing the narrow but real uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that official short-range guidance still carries two days out.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 14 de setembro?
24°C 35%
25°C 31%
26°C 14%
23°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
13%
24°C
35%
25°C
31%
26°C
14%
27°C ou mais
4%
24°C 35%
25°C 31%
26°C 14%
23°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
17°C ou menos
$143 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$143 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$215 Vol.
1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C
$40 Vol.
4%
23°C
$153 Vol.
13%
24°C
$409 Vol.
35%
25°C
$432 Vol.
31%
26°C
$557 Vol.
14%
27°C ou mais
$4 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest Met Office guidance points to a daytime maximum of 25°C in London on September 14 under a southwesterly flow advecting milder air, with partly cloudy skies and limited shower risk.** Ensemble models show modest spread, with some runs holding highs near 24°C if thicker cloud persists or light rain arrives earlier, while clearer breaks could allow brief peaks toward 26°C. These values sit 4–6°C above the early-September climatological average, reflecting a transient ridge and warm advection before fresher northwesterly air arrives midweek. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 24°C and 25°C, traders are pricing the narrow but real uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that official short-range guidance still carries two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,056Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest Met Office guidance points to a daytime maximum of 25°C in London on September 14 under a southwesterly flow advecting milder air, with partly cloudy skies and limited shower risk.** Ensemble models show modest spread, with some runs holding highs near 24°C if thicker cloud persists or light rain arrives earlier, while clearer breaks could allow brief peaks toward 26°C. These values sit 4–6°C above the early-September climatological average, reflecting a transient ridge and warm advection before fresher northwesterly air arrives midweek. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 24°C and 25°C, traders are pricing the narrow but real uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that official short-range guidance still carries two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,056Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest Met Office guidance points to a daytime maximum of 25°C in London on September 14 under a southwesterly flow advecting milder air, with partly cloudy skies and limited shower risk.** Ensemble models show modest spread, with some runs holding highs near 24°C if thicker cloud persists or light rain arrives earlier, while clearer breaks could allow brief peaks toward 26°C. These values sit 4–6°C above the early-September climatological average, reflecting a transient ridge and warm advection before fresher northwesterly air arrives midweek. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 24°C and 25°C, traders are pricing the narrow but real uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that official short-range guidance still carries two days out.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions