Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON models converge on a maximum temperature near 19°C for Warsaw on September 12, driven by building high pressure near 1022 hPa, light northwest winds, and partial cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. This setup follows a cooler, overcast Friday with highs around 17°C, producing the current trader consensus reflected in 19°C and 20°C leading the market. Stable conditions and minimal precipitation risk support these outcomes over higher or lower extremes, with historical mid-September averages near 18–20°C providing context. Updated model runs and observational data from Polish meteorological services over the next 48 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 12 de setembro?
19°C 39%
20°C 34%
17°C 17%
18°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
12 set 2026
15°C ou menos
4%
16°C
5%
17°C
17%
18°C
13%
19°C
39%
20°C
34%
21°C
10%
22°C
6%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C ou mais
2%
19°C 39%
20°C 34%
17°C 17%
18°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
12 set 2026
15°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
4%
16°C
$0 Vol.
5%
17°C
$0 Vol.
17%
18°C
$159 Vol.
13%
19°C
$11 Vol.
39%
20°C
$247 Vol.
34%
21°C
$0 Vol.
10%
22°C
$0 Vol.
6%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON models converge on a maximum temperature near 19°C for Warsaw on September 12, driven by building high pressure near 1022 hPa, light northwest winds, and partial cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. This setup follows a cooler, overcast Friday with highs around 17°C, producing the current trader consensus reflected in 19°C and 20°C leading the market. Stable conditions and minimal precipitation risk support these outcomes over higher or lower extremes, with historical mid-September averages near 18–20°C providing context. Updated model runs and observational data from Polish meteorological services over the next 48 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$417Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON models converge on a maximum temperature near 19°C for Warsaw on September 12, driven by building high pressure near 1022 hPa, light northwest winds, and partial cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. This setup follows a cooler, overcast Friday with highs around 17°C, producing the current trader consensus reflected in 19°C and 20°C leading the market. Stable conditions and minimal precipitation risk support these outcomes over higher or lower extremes, with historical mid-September averages near 18–20°C providing context. Updated model runs and observational data from Polish meteorological services over the next 48 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$417Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON models converge on a maximum temperature near 19°C for Warsaw on September 12, driven by building high pressure near 1022 hPa, light northwest winds, and partial cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. This setup follows a cooler, overcast Friday with highs around 17°C, producing the current trader consensus reflected in 19°C and 20°C leading the market. Stable conditions and minimal precipitation risk support these outcomes over higher or lower extremes, with historical mid-September averages near 18–20°C providing context. Updated model runs and observational data from Polish meteorological services over the next 48 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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