Current ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS data position 20°C as the most probable daily maximum for Warsaw on September 13, with 19–21°C ranges reflecting model consensus under mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds near 8–15 km/h, and surface pressures around 1020–1022 hPa. Recent observations on September 12 showing afternoon readings near 18–20°C, combined with limited diurnal heating from cloud cover and a stable airmass, support these outcomes over higher or lower extremes. Minor precipitation chances below 25% and typical September climatology further narrow trader-implied odds toward the 19–21°C cluster, though updated model runs overnight could shift exact resolution if steering patterns or insolation change.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 13 de setembro?
20°C 51%
21°C 26%
19°C 23%
22°C 4%
14°C ou menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
23%
20°C
51%
21°C
26%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C ou mais
<1%
20°C 51%
21°C 26%
19°C 23%
22°C 4%
14°C ou menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
23%
20°C
51%
21°C
26%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS data position 20°C as the most probable daily maximum for Warsaw on September 13, with 19–21°C ranges reflecting model consensus under mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds near 8–15 km/h, and surface pressures around 1020–1022 hPa. Recent observations on September 12 showing afternoon readings near 18–20°C, combined with limited diurnal heating from cloud cover and a stable airmass, support these outcomes over higher or lower extremes. Minor precipitation chances below 25% and typical September climatology further narrow trader-implied odds toward the 19–21°C cluster, though updated model runs overnight could shift exact resolution if steering patterns or insolation change.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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