Recent forecast model runs from European meteorological centers indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 13 hovering near the 5–6 °C threshold, producing the near-even split between the 5 °C-or-below (52 % implied probability) and 6 °C (46 %) outcomes. Key variables include clear-sky radiative cooling overnight, light northeasterly flow advecting cooler continental air, and limited urban heat-island retention under calm winds. Ensemble spread in high-resolution guidance reflects typical uncertainty at this lead time, with any increase in low-level moisture or slight wind shift potentially raising the minimum by 1 °C. Historical September minima average near 7 °C, so current conditions represent a modest negative anomaly. Updated observations and final model consensus expected later today will determine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia em 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia em 13 de setembro?
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
5°C ou menos
52%
6°C
46%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C ou mais
<1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
5°C ou menos
$123 Vol.
52%
6°C
$184 Vol.
46%
7°C
$566 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$74 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$304 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
15°C ou mais
$33 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from European meteorological centers indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 13 hovering near the 5–6 °C threshold, producing the near-even split between the 5 °C-or-below (52 % implied probability) and 6 °C (46 %) outcomes. Key variables include clear-sky radiative cooling overnight, light northeasterly flow advecting cooler continental air, and limited urban heat-island retention under calm winds. Ensemble spread in high-resolution guidance reflects typical uncertainty at this lead time, with any increase in low-level moisture or slight wind shift potentially raising the minimum by 1 °C. Historical September minima average near 7 °C, so current conditions represent a modest negative anomaly. Updated observations and final model consensus expected later today will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,646Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from European meteorological centers indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 13 hovering near the 5–6 °C threshold, producing the near-even split between the 5 °C-or-below (52 % implied probability) and 6 °C (46 %) outcomes. Key variables include clear-sky radiative cooling overnight, light northeasterly flow advecting cooler continental air, and limited urban heat-island retention under calm winds. Ensemble spread in high-resolution guidance reflects typical uncertainty at this lead time, with any increase in low-level moisture or slight wind shift potentially raising the minimum by 1 °C. Historical September minima average near 7 °C, so current conditions represent a modest negative anomaly. Updated observations and final model consensus expected later today will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,646Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from European meteorological centers indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 13 hovering near the 5–6 °C threshold, producing the near-even split between the 5 °C-or-below (52 % implied probability) and 6 °C (46 %) outcomes. Key variables include clear-sky radiative cooling overnight, light northeasterly flow advecting cooler continental air, and limited urban heat-island retention under calm winds. Ensemble spread in high-resolution guidance reflects typical uncertainty at this lead time, with any increase in low-level moisture or slight wind shift potentially raising the minimum by 1 °C. Historical September minima average near 7 °C, so current conditions represent a modest negative anomaly. Updated observations and final model consensus expected later today will determine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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