Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a high of 29°C for Beijing on September 15, 2026, under clear skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation, driving the 52.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with the seasonal average high of 26.5°C while remaining well below the 31.9°C record from 1954. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support modest daytime warming without significant diurnal extremes or frontal influences. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of 28–30°C forecasts most heavily, with lower odds on 31°C+ reflecting limited upside potential absent unexpected model shifts before official observations finalize the daily maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 15 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 15 de setembro?
29°C 53%
30°C 26%
28°C 18%
31°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
25°C ou menos
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
18%
29°C
53%
30°C
26%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C ou mais
1%
29°C 53%
30°C 26%
28°C 18%
31°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
25°C ou menos
$35 Vol.
3%
26°C
$10 Vol.
2%
27°C
$152 Vol.
4%
28°C
$515 Vol.
18%
29°C
$1,400 Vol.
53%
30°C
$331 Vol.
26%
31°C
$121 Vol.
5%
32°C
$116 Vol.
3%
33°C
$48 Vol.
3%
34°C
$10 Vol.
2%
35°C ou mais
$127 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a high of 29°C for Beijing on September 15, 2026, under clear skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation, driving the 52.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with the seasonal average high of 26.5°C while remaining well below the 31.9°C record from 1954. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support modest daytime warming without significant diurnal extremes or frontal influences. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of 28–30°C forecasts most heavily, with lower odds on 31°C+ reflecting limited upside potential absent unexpected model shifts before official observations finalize the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volume
$2,866Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a high of 29°C for Beijing on September 15, 2026, under clear skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation, driving the 52.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with the seasonal average high of 26.5°C while remaining well below the 31.9°C record from 1954. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support modest daytime warming without significant diurnal extremes or frontal influences. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of 28–30°C forecasts most heavily, with lower odds on 31°C+ reflecting limited upside potential absent unexpected model shifts before official observations finalize the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,866Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a high of 29°C for Beijing on September 15, 2026, under clear skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation, driving the 52.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with the seasonal average high of 26.5°C while remaining well below the 31.9°C record from 1954. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support modest daytime warming without significant diurnal extremes or frontal influences. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of 28–30°C forecasts most heavily, with lower odds on 31°C+ reflecting limited upside potential absent unexpected model shifts before official observations finalize the daily maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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