Latest forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum of 16°C in Wellington on September 15, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air masses and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's 65.5% implied probability for 16°C, as ensembles show highs clustering near 15–16°C (57–61°F), above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5°C. Recent model runs exhibit tight consensus with minimal spread, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the peak toward 15°C or 17°C. Traders are weighting official guidance heavily ahead of the day's resolution, reflecting the short forecast horizon and limited uncertainty in current synoptic patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 15 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 15 de setembro?
16°C 65%
15°C 21%
17°C 14%
14°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
11°C ou menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
21%
16°C
65%
17°C
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C ou mais
<1%
16°C 65%
15°C 21%
17°C 14%
14°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
11°C ou menos
$182 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$203 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$554 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,168 Vol.
3%
15°C
$2,743 Vol.
21%
16°C
$1,432 Vol.
65%
17°C
$1,572 Vol.
14%
18°C
$731 Vol.
1%
19°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
21°C ou mais
$258 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum of 16°C in Wellington on September 15, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air masses and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's 65.5% implied probability for 16°C, as ensembles show highs clustering near 15–16°C (57–61°F), above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5°C. Recent model runs exhibit tight consensus with minimal spread, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the peak toward 15°C or 17°C. Traders are weighting official guidance heavily ahead of the day's resolution, reflecting the short forecast horizon and limited uncertainty in current synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$9,160Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum of 16°C in Wellington on September 15, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air masses and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's 65.5% implied probability for 16°C, as ensembles show highs clustering near 15–16°C (57–61°F), above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5°C. Recent model runs exhibit tight consensus with minimal spread, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the peak toward 15°C or 17°C. Traders are weighting official guidance heavily ahead of the day's resolution, reflecting the short forecast horizon and limited uncertainty in current synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,160Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum of 16°C in Wellington on September 15, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air masses and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's 65.5% implied probability for 16°C, as ensembles show highs clustering near 15–16°C (57–61°F), above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5°C. Recent model runs exhibit tight consensus with minimal spread, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the peak toward 15°C or 17°C. Traders are weighting official guidance heavily ahead of the day's resolution, reflecting the short forecast horizon and limited uncertainty in current synoptic patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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