Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin indicates Thursday night's low will likely settle in the mid-70s, with official point forecasts centering near 75–77°F amid persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. A slight chance of afternoon/evening thunderstorms could further moderate temperature drops if skies remain overcast. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 72–77°F bins, as traders weigh model consensus against typical late-summer variability and the potential for minor forecast shifts before resolution. Historical September averages near 67°F underscore how anomalous warmth is sustaining elevated probabilities for the higher bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Austin no dia 17 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Austin no dia 17 de setembro?
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
72-73°F 39%
78-79°F 39%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
69°F ou menos
11%
21-22°C
19%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
5%
88°F ou mais
5%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
72-73°F 39%
78-79°F 39%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
69°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
11%
21-22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
40%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
40%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
39%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
11%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
7%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
5%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
5%
88°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin indicates Thursday night's low will likely settle in the mid-70s, with official point forecasts centering near 75–77°F amid persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. A slight chance of afternoon/evening thunderstorms could further moderate temperature drops if skies remain overcast. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 72–77°F bins, as traders weigh model consensus against typical late-summer variability and the potential for minor forecast shifts before resolution. Historical September averages near 67°F underscore how anomalous warmth is sustaining elevated probabilities for the higher bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin indicates Thursday night's low will likely settle in the mid-70s, with official point forecasts centering near 75–77°F amid persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. A slight chance of afternoon/evening thunderstorms could further moderate temperature drops if skies remain overcast. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 72–77°F bins, as traders weigh model consensus against typical late-summer variability and the potential for minor forecast shifts before resolution. Historical September averages near 67°F underscore how anomalous warmth is sustaining elevated probabilities for the higher bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin indicates Thursday night's low will likely settle in the mid-70s, with official point forecasts centering near 75–77°F amid persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. A slight chance of afternoon/evening thunderstorms could further moderate temperature drops if skies remain overcast. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 72–77°F bins, as traders weigh model consensus against typical late-summer variability and the potential for minor forecast shifts before resolution. Historical September averages near 67°F underscore how anomalous warmth is sustaining elevated probabilities for the higher bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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