**Official forecasts from Malaysia's meteorological service (METMalaysia) and multiple international models converge on a minimum temperature of 24–26°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 23, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest trading around 25°C (42% implied probability).** In Kuala Lumpur's equatorial tropical climate, nighttime lows are moderated by high humidity, frequent cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms, and limited radiative cooling. The official district forecast explicitly lists a 25°C minimum under scattered thunderstorm conditions, consistent with recent observations (e.g., 24.0°C recorded on September 21) and September climatology, where typical minima range from 23–25°C. Model runs show only modest spread, with slight cooling possible under clearer periods or heavier overnight rain but little chance of extremes below 23°C or above 27°C given stable steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures. Traders appear to weight the authoritative METMalaysia guidance and the narrow historical range most heavily, producing tight clustering around the 24–26°C outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Kuala Lumpur em 23 de setembro?
25°C 42%
26°C 40%
27°C 21%
24°C 19%
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
6%
23°C
18%
24°C
19%
25°C
42%
26°C
30%
27°C
21%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 42%
26°C 40%
27°C 21%
24°C 19%
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
6%
23°C
18%
24°C
19%
25°C
42%
26°C
30%
27°C
21%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Malaysia's meteorological service (METMalaysia) and multiple international models converge on a minimum temperature of 24–26°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 23, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest trading around 25°C (42% implied probability).** In Kuala Lumpur's equatorial tropical climate, nighttime lows are moderated by high humidity, frequent cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms, and limited radiative cooling. The official district forecast explicitly lists a 25°C minimum under scattered thunderstorm conditions, consistent with recent observations (e.g., 24.0°C recorded on September 21) and September climatology, where typical minima range from 23–25°C. Model runs show only modest spread, with slight cooling possible under clearer periods or heavier overnight rain but little chance of extremes below 23°C or above 27°C given stable steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures. Traders appear to weight the authoritative METMalaysia guidance and the narrow historical range most heavily, producing tight clustering around the 24–26°C outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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