Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local models indicate Beijing will see a shift to overcast or rainy conditions on September 24, with a high near 26°C as a cold front or northeasterly flow replaces warmer southerly winds. Cloud cover and scattered showers will limit daytime solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, pulling maxima below the 29–31°C readings expected for September 22–23. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 25–27°C, though timing of precipitation and exact cloud thickness could still swing the peak by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clustering on 23–25°C reflects these moderating influences while assigning lower probability to warmer outliers if clearing occurs earlier than modeled.