**Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 4, 2026, center on 26–28°C amid cloudy, rainy conditions driven by the remnants of Typhoon Saudel (or associated tropical low-pressure systems) over the northern South China Sea.** Multiple models (including Yr.no, AccuWeather, and WeatherBug) project a daytime high near 27–28°C (roughly 80–82°F) under widespread cloud cover, with moderate northwest winds, high humidity, and periods of rain or thunderstorms that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling effects. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26–30°C: persistent moisture and reduced insolation from the weather system suppress peak temperatures relative to clearer late-summer norms, while minor model differences in exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or steering flow create the observed spread. Historical September averages for the region hover near 32°C, but the current synoptic pattern favors a cooler, more stable outcome. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 4 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 4 de setembro?
28°C 29%
30°C 18%
29°C 16%
27°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
10%
27°C
14%
28°C
29%
29°C
16%
30°C
18%
31°C
4%
32°C
5%
33°C ou mais
3%
28°C 29%
30°C 18%
29°C 16%
27°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
23°C ou menos
$10 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$205 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C
$5 Vol.
10%
27°C
$22 Vol.
14%
28°C
$34 Vol.
29%
29°C
$11 Vol.
16%
30°C
$83 Vol.
18%
31°C
$81 Vol.
4%
32°C
$100 Vol.
5%
33°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 4, 2026, center on 26–28°C amid cloudy, rainy conditions driven by the remnants of Typhoon Saudel (or associated tropical low-pressure systems) over the northern South China Sea.** Multiple models (including Yr.no, AccuWeather, and WeatherBug) project a daytime high near 27–28°C (roughly 80–82°F) under widespread cloud cover, with moderate northwest winds, high humidity, and periods of rain or thunderstorms that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling effects.
This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26–30°C: persistent moisture and reduced insolation from the weather system suppress peak temperatures relative to clearer late-summer norms, while minor model differences in exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or steering flow create the observed spread. Historical September averages for the region hover near 32°C, but the current synoptic pattern favors a cooler, more stable outcome. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$551Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 4, 2026, center on 26–28°C amid cloudy, rainy conditions driven by the remnants of Typhoon Saudel (or associated tropical low-pressure systems) over the northern South China Sea.** Multiple models (including Yr.no, AccuWeather, and WeatherBug) project a daytime high near 27–28°C (roughly 80–82°F) under widespread cloud cover, with moderate northwest winds, high humidity, and periods of rain or thunderstorms that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling effects.
This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26–30°C: persistent moisture and reduced insolation from the weather system suppress peak temperatures relative to clearer late-summer norms, while minor model differences in exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or steering flow create the observed spread. Historical September averages for the region hover near 32°C, but the current synoptic pattern favors a cooler, more stable outcome. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$551Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 4, 2026, center on 26–28°C amid cloudy, rainy conditions driven by the remnants of Typhoon Saudel (or associated tropical low-pressure systems) over the northern South China Sea.** Multiple models (including Yr.no, AccuWeather, and WeatherBug) project a daytime high near 27–28°C (roughly 80–82°F) under widespread cloud cover, with moderate northwest winds, high humidity, and periods of rain or thunderstorms that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling effects. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26–30°C: persistent moisture and reduced insolation from the weather system suppress peak temperatures relative to clearer late-summer norms, while minor model differences in exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or steering flow create the observed spread. Historical September averages for the region hover near 32°C, but the current synoptic pattern favors a cooler, more stable outcome. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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