**Forecast consensus points to a high near 30°C on September 2 under mostly sunny skies and light variable winds, keeping the 28–32°C outcomes clustered near equal implied probability.** Clear conditions promote strong daytime radiative heating, while southerly flow transitioning to northwest winds may modulate boundary-layer mixing and the precise peak. Model runs show minor spread from subtle differences in timing of the wind shift and any thin high-cloud effects, with historical early-September maxima averaging around 28–30°C. Updated CMA or NMC guidance and the next model cycle will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 2 de setembro?
31°C 35%
30°C 28%
32°C 20%
29°C 16%
25°C or below
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
16%
30°C
28%
31°C
35%
32°C
20%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 35%
30°C 28%
32°C 20%
29°C 16%
25°C or below
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
16%
30°C
28%
31°C
35%
32°C
20%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to a high near 30°C on September 2 under mostly sunny skies and light variable winds, keeping the 28–32°C outcomes clustered near equal implied probability.** Clear conditions promote strong daytime radiative heating, while southerly flow transitioning to northwest winds may modulate boundary-layer mixing and the precise peak. Model runs show minor spread from subtle differences in timing of the wind shift and any thin high-cloud effects, with historical early-September maxima averaging around 28–30°C. Updated CMA or NMC guidance and the next model cycle will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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